Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group H - Round 26

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)


	Casarano		Nocerina

	1	X	2
	1.82	3.25	3.8
	1.67	3.4	4.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.93)	3.33 ↑ (3.3)	4.26 ↑ (3.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casarano
51.7%

Draw
27.1%

Nocerina
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

27.5%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

26.4%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Casarano - Nocerina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Gerbaudo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', 1 - 1, Malcore G. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group H (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casarano won 1.

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Casarano will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Casarano won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:8 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Casarano won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.02.25	Virtus Francavilla - Casarano	2:2 ✺
16.02.25	Casarano - Matera	5:0 ✺
09.02.25	Città di Brindisi - Casarano	0:2 ✺
02.02.25	Casarano - Città di Fasano	1:0 ✺
19.01.25	Casarano - Martina Calcio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TWWWT
- Nocerina
Italian Serie D - Group H
23.02.25	Nocerina - Ischia Isolaverde	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Gravina - Nocerina	1:1 ✺
09.02.25	Nocerina - Manfredonia	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	Fidelis Andria - Nocerina	0:2 ✺
12.01.25	Nocerina - Costa D`Amalfi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group H
27.10.24	Nocerina - Casarano	0:0
05.02.23	Nocerina - Casarano	0:0
02.10.22	Casarano - Nocerina	1:1
15.05.22	Nocerina - Casarano	4:1
22.12.21	Casarano - Nocerina	2:1
15.12.19	Nocerina - Casarano	2:2

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