Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 37

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Casatese		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	2.04	3.1	3.5
	2.09	3.15	3.61
	2.04	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.04)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casatese
44.6%

Draw
29.4%

Desenzano Calvina
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

28.4%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Casatese have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Desenzano Calvina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Antonelli F. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Casatese won 2.

Casatese in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Desenzano is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Casatese will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Casatese won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.9:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Casatese won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.8:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.04.25	Varesina - Casatese	2:3 ✺
13.04.25	Casatese - Breno	6:0 ✺
06.04.25	Chievo - Casatese	0:1 ✺
02.04.25	Sangiuliano City Nova - Casatese	0:1 ✺
30.03.25	Casatese - Pro Palazzolo	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.8 WWWWW
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
17.04.25	Desenzano Calvina - Vigasio	1:0 ✺
14.04.25	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Desenzano Calvina - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ospitaletto - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Desenzano Calvina - Club Milano	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
15.12.24	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	3:1
03.12.23	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1
23.04.23	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	1:3
11.12.22	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	3:1
03.04.22	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	1:1
21.11.21	Desenzano Calvina - Casatese	1:2
20.02.21	Casatese - Desenzano Calvina	3:0

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