Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 33

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday


	Ospitaletto		Desenzano Calvina

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.25
	2.14	3.1	3.2
	2.23	3.22	3.22
	2.14	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.02)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)	3.22 ↓ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ospitaletto
42.6%

Draw
29.1%

Desenzano Calvina
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

29.2%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.3%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Ospitaletto - Desenzano Calvina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Procaccio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
74', 1 - 1, Barwuah E. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 1, Mozzanica J. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ospitaletto will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ospitaletto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.03.25	Folgore Caratese - Ospitaletto	2:2 ✺
09.03.25	Ospitaletto - Varesina	1:3 ✺
23.02.25	Ospitaletto - Breno	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Chievo - Ospitaletto	1:2 ✺
09.02.25	Ospitaletto - Pro Palazzolo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLTWT
- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
23.03.25	Desenzano Calvina - Club Milano	4:1 ✺
09.03.25	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
23.02.25	Desenzano Calvina - SantAngelo	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Cavenago Fanfulla - Desenzano Calvina	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Varesina - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
17.11.24	Desenzano Calvina - Ospitaletto	2:1

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