Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 36

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Desenzano Calvina		Vigasio

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.1	5.25
	1.66	3.15	5.6
	1.68	3.3	5.3
	1.65	3.1	5.5
	1.68	3.18	5.29
	1.66	3.15	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)	3.16 ↓ (3.23)	5.42 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Desenzano Calvina
54.6%

Draw
28.7%

Vigasio
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

28.1%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

27%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Vigasio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vigasio than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Desenzano Calvina - Vigasio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Procaccio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: ) and 13).

Desenzano is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Vigasio is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vigasio could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Desenzano is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Desenzano to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Desenzano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:3

Last Results with these Odds

Desenzano Calvina - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.39%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Desenzano Calvina
Italian Serie D - Group B
14.04.25	Crema - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Desenzano Calvina - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	1:0 ✺
30.03.25	Ospitaletto - Desenzano Calvina	2:1 ✺
23.03.25	Desenzano Calvina - Club Milano	4:1 ✺
09.03.25	Folgore Caratese - Desenzano Calvina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 WWLWW
- AC Vigasio
Italian Serie D - Group B
13.04.25	Vigasio - Varesina	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	SantAngelo - Vigasio	1:3 ✺
30.03.25	Vigasio - Breno	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Chievo - Vigasio	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Vigasio - Pro Palazzolo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
08.12.24	Vigasio - Desenzano Calvina	3:3

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