Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 27

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Capozza (Casarano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Casarano		Casertana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.78	Watch
	2.29	3.1	3.32
	2.39	3.08	2.91	Watch
	2.3	2.8	2.9
	2.38	2.9	2.97	Watch
	2.5	2.9	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↓ (2.94)	2.98 ↓ (3.16)	2.98 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Casarano
38.5%

Draw
30.8%

Casertana
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

29.1%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.6%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casarano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casarano's performance.

Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Casertana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casarano than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casarano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Casarano - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchin F. (G) 5. Celiento D. 25. Bachini M. 33. Mercadante M. 27. Versienti L. 23. Logoluso G. 11. Ferrara V. 3. Giraudo F. 10. Chirico C. 16. Santarcangelo A. 9. Grandolfo F.	1. De Lucia V. (G) 5. Llano Massa M. T. 17. Viscardi A. 4. Kontek I. 18. Oukhadda S. 99. Saco C. 25. Toscano M. 16. Pezzella S. 20. Bentivegna A. 90. Casarotto M. 9. Kallon Y.
Substitutes
26. Barone A. 77. Cajazzo I. 35. Cerbone S. 22. Chiorra N. (G) 8. D'Alena A. 80. Di Dio F. 24. Gega E. 29. Gyamfi B. 67. Jacopo L. 46. Leonetti V. 64. Martina M. 7. Palumbo F. 6. Patrignani G.	51. Arzillo V. 29. De Liguori A. 11. Galletta U. 21. Girelli S. 28. Giugno L. 10. Leone K. 12. Merolla E. (G) 22. Vilardi A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Casarotto M. ⚽,
7', 1 - 1, Grandolfo F. ⚽,
12', Bachini M. 🟨,
15', Viscardi A. 🟥,
21', Santarcangelo A. 🟨,
27', Bentivegna A. ↓, Girelli S. ↑,
45+1', Mercadante M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Bachini M. ↓, Gyamfi B. ↑,
56', Mercadante M. ↓, Cajazzo I. ↑,
62', Versienti L. 🟨,
68', 2 - 1, Celiento D. ⚽,
72', 2 - 2, Llano Massa M. T. ⚽,
76', Pezzella S. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
79', Versienti L. ↓, Cerbone S. ↑,
79', Chirico C. ↓, Leonetti V. ↑,
87', Cerbone S. 🟨,
90', Casarotto M. 🟨,
90', 3 - 2, Logoluso G. ⚽,
90+1', Llano Massa M. T. ↓, Galletta U. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

In recent matches, Casarano has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Casertana is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Casarano won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Casarano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15
15	Casarano	8	3	1	4	10:13	-3	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Casarano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Salernitana - Casarano	3:0 ✺
07.02.26	Casarano - Sorrento	2:0 ✺
31.01.26	Cavese - Casarano	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Casarano - Picerno	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Benevento - Casarano	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWTTL
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
10.02.26	Casertana - Crotone	2:2 ✺
07.02.26	Casertana - Foggia	3:2 ✺
01.02.26	Nuova Cosenza - Casertana	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Casertana - Trapani	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Potenza - Casertana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
05.10.25	Casertana - Casarano	0:3
Italian Serie D - Group H
16.02.22	Casarano - Casertana	3:2
10.10.21	Casertana - Casarano	1:0

Upcoming Matches