The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casertana 62.7%
Draw 23.4%
Taranto 13.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.9%
28.4%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.7%
27.7%
21.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casertana's performance.
Taranto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taranto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casertana that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taranto than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taranto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
100%
0%
0%
Casertana - Taranto Predictions
Users Predictions:
Casertana will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Zanellati A. (G) 37. Falasca M. 4. Kontek I. 44. Gatti R. 6. Heinz J. 8. Damian F. 30. Bianchi S. 7. Carretta M. (C) 32. Paglino S. 93. Bakayoko A. 90. Asencio R.
1. Del Favero M. (G) 72. Mastromonaco G. 6. Shiba C. 4. de Santis I. 3. Contessa S. 7. Lores I. 21. Matera A. (C) 14. Verde F. 38. Ardizzone F. 10. Fabbro M. 32. Giovinco G.
Substitutes
77. Capasso C. 19. Collodel R. 18. Deli F. 3. Fabbri A. 21. Iuliano F. 70. Mancini S. 16. Matese M. 12. Pareiko D. (G) 27. Proia F. 34. Rocca S. 10. Salomaa H. 9. Satriano A. 22. Vilardi A. (G)
8. Fiorani M. 20. Guarracino M. 39. Iervolino A. 34. Locanto G. 5. Marong B. 94. Meli G. (G) 44. Picardi M. 18. Schirru G. 24. Speranza M. 33. Vaughn C. 11. Zigoni G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 1 - 0, Asencio R. ⚽,
65', Giovinco G. ↓, Zigoni G. ↑,
67', Bianchi S. ↓, Collodel R. ↑,
68', Verde F. 🟨,
73', Damian F. ↓, Deli F. ↑,
73', Asencio R. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
76', Verde F. ↓, Guarracino M. ↑,
77', Del Favero M. 🟨,
78', 2 - 0, Carretta M. (Pen),
82', Paglino S. ↓, Mancini S. ↑,
82', Carretta M. ↓, Iuliano F. ↑,
83', Guarracino M. 🟨,
83', Lores I. ↓, Fiorani M. ↑,
84', Mastromonaco G. 🟨,
90', Ardizzone F. 🟨,
90+2', Falasca M. 🟨,
Preview
We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 20 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Casertana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Taranto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Casertana could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match Casertana is absolute favorite.
Last 4 head-to-head matches Casertana won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Casertana won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
Italy
Watch
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Zanellati A. (G) 
Kontek I. 
Bakayoko A. 
Asencio R. 
Shiba C. 
Lores I. 
Mancini S. 
Pareiko D. (G) 
Salomaa H. 
Marong B. 
Vaughn C. 
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