Match Info

Date: 15 February 2021, Monday


	Castellón		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.9	2.45	Watch
	3.3	2.85	2.4
	3.4	2.85	2.4	Watch
	3.15	2.85	2.43
	3.4	2.94	2.54
	3.3	2.75	2.45	Watch
	3.2	2.92	2.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↓ (3.52)	2.87 ↓ (2.89)	2.46 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
28.7%

Draw
32.9%

Fuenlabrada
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.6%

32.5%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

21.6%

27.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.4%	42.9%	38.8%

Castellón - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 9 - 18.4%). Fuenlabrada will win (votes: 19 - 38.8%). It will Tie (votes: 21 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 56.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Castellón has a good chance of relegated (58%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fuenlabrada has a small chance of relegated (8%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Fuenlabrada will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
07.02.21	Castellón - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
30.01.21	Almería - Castellón	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
10.01.21	Espanyol - Castellón	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.01.21	Castellón - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LLWLL
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
06.02.21	Fuenlabrada - Almería	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	Tenerife - Fuenlabrada	1:1 ✺
22.01.21	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.21	Fuenlabrada - Levante	1:2 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
11.01.21	Sporting de Gijón - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.10.20	Fuenlabrada - Castellón	1:1

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