Match Info

Date: 27 November 2021, Saturday


	Sporting de Gijón		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.2	4.33	Watch
	1.77	3.2	4.4
	1.8	3.15	5.2	Watch
	1.93	3.1	4.2
	2	3.13	4.79
	1.73	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.93	3.22	4.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (2.01)	3.17 ↓ (3.18)	4.67 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
50.3%

Draw
29.6%

Fuenlabrada
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

29.9%

22.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9%

23.3%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sporting de Gijón - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 13 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Sporting de Gijón has the most likely position - 13 (6.88%), has project points - 55, has currently - 22, has a small chance of relegated (11%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (14.41%), has project points - 45, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (47%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sporting de Gijón has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fuenlabrada is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Fuenlabrada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting de Gijón is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
21.11.21	Ponferradina - Sporting de Gijón	4:1 ✺
12.11.21	Sporting de Gijón - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
07.11.21	Zaragoza - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
02.11.21	Sporting de Gijón - Almería	0:1 ✺
30.10.21	Lugo - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLLT
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
19.11.21	Fuenlabrada - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
13.11.21	Valladolid - Fuenlabrada	3:0 ✺
06.11.21	Fuenlabrada - Eibar	0:0 ✺
03.11.21	Las Palmas - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
31.10.21	Fuenlabrada - Girona	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
24.05.21	Fuenlabrada - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
11.01.21	Sporting de Gijón - Fuenlabrada	2:1
25.01.20	Sporting de Gijón - Fuenlabrada	1:0
06.10.19	Fuenlabrada - Sporting de Gijón	2:0

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