The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tenerife 60.7%
Draw 24.8%
Fuenlabrada 14.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.4%
26.7%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
55.8%
26%
18.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.
Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
7.1%
9.5%
Tenerife - Fuenlabrada Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tenerife will win
(35 of 42 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.06% – 94.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 21 in the zone Relegation).
Tenerife has the most likely position - 4 (30.22%), has project points - 69, has currently - 59, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of prom. playoffs (87%), has a chance of promoted (23%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (50.09%), has project points - 37, has currently - 29, has a very good chance of relegated (98%), has not chance of prom. playoffs.
This event has small quality28, small importance17, small match rating22. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 0.
Recent matches Tenerife is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fuenlabrada is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Fuenlabrada could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Tenerife is a favorite.
Last 7 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.
Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.