Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Gonzalez Esteban J. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Castellón		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.35	4.05	Watch
	1.98	3.43	4.47
	2.21	3.24	3.37	Watch
	1.91	3.42	4.43	Watch
	1.88	3.33	4.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.21)	3.38 ↑ (3.24)	4.11 ↑ (3.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castellón
48.7%

Draw
28.2%

Las Palmas
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

29.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

29%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	22.7%	22.7%

Castellón - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 31% – 73.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 50%). Las Palmas (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Las Palmas (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 40%). Las Palmas (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 12. Alcazar 18. Santiago P. 8. Barri 15. Gerenabarrena B. 7. Mabil A. 9. Camara O. 21. Calatrava A.	1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 6. Sergio Barcia 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 17. Viti 12. Loiodice E. (C) 16. Amatucci L. 24. Pejino 25. Lukovic M. 14. Fuster M.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 3. Brignani F. 16. Cipenga B. 29. De Nipoti T. 6. Doue M. 14. Gil O. 23. Mamah K. 20. Markanich N. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 10. Suero I. 26. Tincho	4. Alex Suarez 13. Caro J. (G) 18. Cedeno E. 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 10. Jese 7. Mata J. 27. Pezzolesi V. 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Clemente E. 🟨,
43', Barri 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
55', Camara O. 🟨,
58', Barri ↓, Doue M. ↑,
58', Santiago P. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
67', Jimenez A. 🟨,
67', Marmol M. 🟨,
68', Pejino ↓, Gil I. ↑,
71', Camara O. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
71', Sienra A. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Suero I. ⚽, Cipenga B. (A),
78', Fuster M. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
78', Loiodice E. ↓, Jese ↑,
83', Calatrava A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
86', Clemente E. ↓, Gutierrez C. ↑,
86', Amatucci L. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Hamstring Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Castellón: Serpeta (Head Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Pejino (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
22.11.25	FC Andorra - Castellón	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	5:4 ✺
10.11.25	Burgos - Castellón	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.25	Antoniano - Castellón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWTWL
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
21.11.25	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	CD Extremadura - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.02.21	Castellón - Las Palmas	4:0
21.10.20	Las Palmas - Castellón	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.19	Castellón - Las Palmas	0:2

Upcoming Matches