Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 14

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Estadio José Zorrilla (Valladolid)

Referee: Gonzalez M. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 5
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 1
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport Premium 2, Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 2, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 6, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Valladolid		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.85	3.6	Watch
	2.25	2.92	3.4	Watch
	2.33	3.07	3.63
	2.28	3.14	3.32	Watch
	2.36	3.04	3.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↓ (2.33)	3 ↓ (3.03)	3.49 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Valladolid
41.4%

Draw
31.5%

Las Palmas
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

30.6%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

29.7%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valladolid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	56.2%	12.5%

Valladolid - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Valladolid will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.2% – 84.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Las Palmas (2.09) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Valladolid (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Las Palmas (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Guilherme Fernandes (G) 14. Alejo I. 15. Tomeo P. 4. Torres D. 3. Bueno G. 22. Peter Federico 24. Juric S. (C) 21. Ponceau J. 11. Ndiaye A. 10. Marcos Andre 18. Delgado J.	1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 6. Sergio Barcia 3. Marmol M. 5. Clemente E. 22. Garcia A. 16. Amatucci L. 20. Rodriguez K. (C) 24. Pejino 14. Fuster M. 25. Lukovic M.
Substitutes
1. Aceves A. (G) 12. Alani I. 19. Arnuncio A. 17. Biuk S. 7. Canos S. 20. Chuki 36. Dominguez M. 23. Jaouab M. 6. Lachuer M. 16. Maroto M. 5. Sanchez J. 2. Trilli	4. Alex Suarez 11. Cardona M. 13. Caro J. (G) 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 10. Jese 7. Mata J. 35. Suarez A. (G) 21. Viera J. 17. Viti
Coaches
Almada G.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Pejino ⚽, Rodriguez K. (A),
28', Marmol M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Delgado J. ↓, Chuki ↑,
46', Garcia A. ↓, Gil I. ↑,
53', Torres D. 🟨,
54', Pejino ↓, Viti ↑,
63', Rodriguez K. ↓, Gonzalez I. ↑,
63', Ndiaye A. ↓, Biuk S. ↑,
72', Marcos Andre ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,
75', Lukovic M. ↓, Jese ↑,
75', Fuster M. ↓, Viera J. ↑,
79', Alejo I. 🟨,
82', Ponceau J. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
82', Peter Federico ↓, Lachuer M. ↑,
84', Juric S. 🟨,
86', Marvin 🟨,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Valladolid might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Valladolid: Garriel I. (Knee Injury) Latasa J. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Cedeno E. (International duty) Loiodice E. (Red Card) Recoba J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Cardona M. (Injury) Jese (Injury) Marmol M. (Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Viera J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Valladolid won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Valladolid won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
09.11.25	Cádiz - Valladolid	0:0 ✺
03.11.25	Valladolid - Granada	2:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Portugalete - Valladolid	1:0 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TWLTL
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
09.11.25	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	CD Extremadura - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
24.10.25	Huesca - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Las Palmas - Eibar	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
28.02.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1
07.12.24	Las Palmas - Valladolid	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
19.03.22	Valladolid - Las Palmas	0:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Valladolid - Las Palmas	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
15.08.21	Las Palmas - Valladolid	1:1
13.06.15	Las Palmas - Valladolid	0:0
10.06.15	Valladolid - Las Palmas	1:1

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