Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 18

Date: 15 December 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Sanchez A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
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Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	beIN Sports 3
Slovakia	Voyo
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Sweden	TV4 Play
Thailand	beIN Sports 3
Turkey	S Sport+
Uruguay	Disney+
Venezuela	Disney+


	Castellón		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.3	5	8	Watch
	1.33	4.95	7.9
	1.34	5.41	9.21
	1.34	5.17	8.74	Watch
	1.33	4.8	8
	1.37	5.09	8.5	Watch
	1.32	5.33	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.45)	5.11 ↑ (4.57)	8.41 ↑ (6.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
70.4%

Draw
18.4%

Mirandés
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.2%

20.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

19.9%

13.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Mirandés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	5.9%	17.6%

Castellón - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Mirandés will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Matthys R. (G) 22. Mellot J. 5. Jimenez A. (C) 4. Sienra A. 12. Alcazar 7. Mabil A. 8. Barri 6. Doue M. 18. Santiago P. 21. Calatrava A. 20. Markanich N.	1. Nikic I. (G) 27. Tamarit T. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 5. Pica A. 3. Medrano F. 7. Varela I. 26. Bauza R. 6. Helguera T. 17. Perez P. 9. Petit G. 10. Fernandez C.
Substitutes
1. Abedzadeh A. (G) 11. Aurelio D. 3. Brignani F. 9. Camara O. 29. De Nipoti T. 15. Gerenabarrena B. 14. Gil O. 23. Mamah K. 25. Ronaldo 17. Ruiz S. 10. Suero I. 26. Tincho	18. Barea Fernandez I. 11. Cardero A. 30. El Jebari S. 20. Eto'o E. 19. Illesca M. 13. Juanpa (G) 14. Mari A. 8. Martin Luis A. 2. Novoa Ramos H. 4. Pascual M.
Coaches
Hernandez P.	Galvan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Doue M. ⚽, Mabil A. (A),
34', Mellot J. 🟨,
40', Doue M. 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Fernandez C. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
53', Markanich N. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
53', Doue M. ↓, Gerenabarrena B. ↑,
53', Camara O. 🟨,
59', Pica A. 🟨,
59', Jimenez A. 🟨,
65', 2 - 1, Camara O. ⚽, Barri (A),
67', Alcazar ↓, Tincho ↑,
67', Santiago P. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
69', Pica A. ↓, Pascual M. ↑,
69', Varela I. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
69', Perez P. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
76', Helguera T. ↓, Illesca M. ↑,
79', Medrano F. 🟨,
84', Jimenez A. ↓, Brignani F. ↑,
85', Tamarit T. ↓, Mari A. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 1, Camara O. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
90+6', Mabil A. 🟨,
90+6', Cardero A. 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Castellón is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mirandés is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Castellón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Castellón is the undisputed favorite.

There will not play in Castellón: Cipenga B. (International duty)

There will not play in Mirandés: Cordoba I. (Yellow Cards) Lopez P. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Castellón: Jakobsen A. (Injury)

We predict that Castellón will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
07.12.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Castellón	1:3 ✺
30.11.25	Castellón - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	FC Andorra - Castellón	1:3 ✺
15.11.25	Castellón - Real Sociedad B	5:4 ✺
10.11.25	Burgos - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WWWWT
- CD Mirandés
Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.25	Las Palmas - Mirandés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Málaga - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mirandés - Burgos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.25	Mirandés - Castellón	3:2
16.11.24	Castellón - Mirandés	1:3
07.02.21	Castellón - Mirandés	0:1
28.11.20	Mirandés - Castellón	1:1

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