Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 17

Date: 8 December 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio de Gran Canaria (Las Palmas)

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion


	Las Palmas		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.7	6.5	Watch
	1.55	3.7	6.3	Watch
	1.57	3.96	6.63
	1.56	3.89	6.46	Watch
	1.53	3.6	6
	1.58	3.83	6.79	Watch
	1.54	3.8	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.47)	3.78 ↓ (4.16)	6.45 ↓ (7.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Las Palmas
60.6%

Draw
24.8%

Mirandés
14.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

22.7%

13%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

22.1%

12.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Las Palmas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Las Palmas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.7%	6.7%	6.7%

Las Palmas - Mirandés Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Las Palmas (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Las Palmas will win (13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Las Palmas (votes: 6 - 75%). Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horkas D. (G) 2. Marvin 3. Marmol M. 6. Sergio Barcia 5. Clemente E. 14. Fuster M. 12. Loiodice E. 16. Amatucci L. 24. Pejino 25. Lukovic M. 21. Viera J. (C)	1. Nikic I. (G) 27. Tamarit T. 22. Gutierrez J. (C) 24. Cordoba I. 3. Medrano F. 7. Varela I. 26. Bauza R. 6. Helguera T. 17. Perez P. 10. Fernandez C. 14. Mari A.
Substitutes
4. Alex Suarez 11. Cardona M. 13. Caro J. (G) 8. Gil I. 26. Gonzalez I. 23. Gutierrez C. 15. Herzog J. 10. Jese 7. Mata J. 20. Rodriguez K. 35. Suarez A. (G) 17. Viti	18. Barea Fernandez I. 11. Cardero A. 30. El Jebari S. 20. Eto'o E. 31. Gorrin A. (G) 19. Illesca M. 8. Martin Luis A. 4. Pascual M. 9. Petit G. 5. Pica A.
Coaches
Garcia L.	Galvan J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Mari A. 🟨,
38', Horkas D. 🟥,
40', Viera J. ↓, Caro J. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Medrano F. 🟨,
57', Medrano F. ↓, El Jebari S. ↑,
57', Mari A. ↓, Petit G. ↑,
64', Pejino ↓, Gil I. ↑,
64', Fuster M. ↓, Viti ↑,
69', Varela I. ↓, Cardero A. ↑,
81', Tamarit T. ↓, Martin Luis A. ↑,
86', Marvin 🟨,
86', Cordoba I. 🟨,
88', Lukovic M. ↓, Jese ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 2.

Las Palmas is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Mirandés's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Las Palmas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Mirandés has had a series of home games.

In this match, Las Palmas is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Las Palmas: Garcia A. (Hamstring Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Recoba J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Mirandés: Lopez P. (Knee Injury)

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Las Palmas won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Las Palmas
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Castellón - Las Palmas	1:0 ✺
21.11.25	Las Palmas - Albacete Balompié	2:1 ✺
14.11.25	Valladolid - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
02.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWT
- CD Mirandés
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Mirandés - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
23.11.25	Málaga - Mirandés	3:2 ✺
16.11.25	Mirandés - Burgos	0:2 ✺
07.11.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
20.01.23	Las Palmas - Mirandés	2:1
01.10.22	Mirandés - Las Palmas	3:3
06.05.22	Las Palmas - Mirandés	1:0
05.09.21	Mirandés - Las Palmas	4:2
31.01.21	Mirandés - Las Palmas	2:0
25.11.20	Las Palmas - Mirandés	0:2
11.07.20	Las Palmas - Mirandés	1:0

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