Match Info

Date: 30 January 2022, Sunday


	Castellón		UCAM Murcia

	1	X	2
	1.95	2.87	3.8
	2	2.9	3.7
	1.95	2.85	4
	2.01	2.95	3.65
	2.06	3.15	3.83
	2	3.18	3.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.82)	2.98 ↓ (3.1)	3.79 ↓ (4.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
45.5%

Draw
30.5%

UCAM Murcia
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

29.6%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34%

20%

29.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Castellón that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that UCAM Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Castellón - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Castellón is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UCAM Murcia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Castellón could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.22	Atlético Sanluqueño - Castellón	0:1 ✺
23.01.22	Castellón - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
18.01.22	Villarreal B - Castellón	3:2 ✺
19.12.21	Castellón - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Castellón - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTLLL
- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
26.01.22	UCAM Murcia - Linense	1:0 ✺
22.01.22	Barcelona B - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
15.01.22	Eldense - UCAM Murcia	2:2 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.01.22	UCAM Murcia - Cornellà	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.12.21	UCAM Murcia - Real Murcia	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
09.10.21	UCAM Murcia - Castellón	0:1

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