Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 19

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Castellón		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.33	4.75	9.5	Watch
	1.32	5	7.75
	1.33	5	8.5
	1.36	5.14	8.85
	1.36	5.01	8.65	Watch
	1.4	4.5	7
	1.35	5.2	8.4	Watch
	1.33	5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.46)	4.95 ↑ (4.18)	8.39 ↑ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
69.8%

Draw
19%

Cartagena
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

22.3%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.2%

21.6%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	37.5%	12.5%

Castellón - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Cartagena will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 17. Ruiz S. (C) 5. Jimenez A. 33. Vertrouwd J. 51. Pastor G. 19. Villahermosa D. 6. van den Belt T. 16. Cipenga B. 8. Mamah K. 10. Sanchez R. 4. Suero I.	1. Cunat P. (G) 12. Vukcevic A. 4. Alcala P. (C) 22. Olivas K. 3. Rios Reina J. 6. Mini 18. Musto D. 34. Gonzalez H. 8. Munoz L. 7. Valles G. 10. Escriche D.
Substitutes
13. Abedzadeh A. (G) 27. Albert J. 11. Aurelio D. 29. Boriko S. 23. Calavera J. 7. Moyita S. 26. Punzano I. 20. Seuntjens M. 46. Suner P. M.	26. Andugar A. 40. Fuidias T. (G) 28. Hernandez J. 35. Nono (G) 9. Ortuno A. 37. Roman P. 27. Sanchez Alcaraz C. 24. Sipcic N.
Coaches
Schreuder D.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', 1 - 0, Mamah K. ⚽, Villahermosa D. (A),
14', 2 - 0, Suero I. ⚽, van den Belt T. (A),
24', Jimenez A. 🟨,
26', Sanchez R. ↓, Suner P. M. ↑,
27', Escriche D. 🟨,
37', 🟨,
37', Mini 🟨,
45+1', Olivas K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Gonzalez H. ↓, Roman P. ↑,
46', Alcala P. 🟨,
50', 3 - 0, Suner P. M. ⚽, Suero I. (A),
61', Olivas K. ↓, Sipcic N. ↑,
62', Vukcevic A. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Roman P. ⚽,
67', Ruiz S. ↓, Aurelio D. ↑,
67', Pastor G. ↓, Boriko S. ↑,
67', Suero I. ↓, Calavera J. ↑,
70', 4 - 1, Cipenga B. ⚽, Mamah K. (A),
75', Sipcic N. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
77', van den Belt T. ↓, Moyita S. ↑,
83', Mini ↓, Sanchez Alcaraz C. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match Castellón is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Castellón: Gil O. (Jaw injury) de Miguel J. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cartagena: Verdu G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Castellón: Calatrava A. (Lacking Match Fitness) Willems J. (Lacking Match Fitness)

There are questionable in Cartagena: Aguirregabiria M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:4 (average 1:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Castellón won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:3 (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
08.12.24	Albacete Balompié - Castellón	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Ponferradina - Castellón	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
01.12.24	Castellón - Málaga	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Castellón - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
24.11.24	Huesca - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TLWTT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
09.12.24	Cartagena - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	FC Andorra - Cartagena	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.12.24	Eibar - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Cartagena - Almería	1:2 ✺
17.11.24	Cartagena - Huesca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Copa del Rey
15.12.21	Castellón - Cartagena	1:2
Spanish LaLiga2
09.05.21	Cartagena - Castellón	1:0
15.11.20	Castellón - Cartagena	2:1

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