Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group B - Round 20

Date: 5 January 2025, Sunday


	Castellanzese		Ospitaletto

	1	X	2
	6	4	1.43
	6.2	4.1	1.44
				Watch
	6.5	3.75	1.44
	6.7	4.15	1.41
	6.2	4.1	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.32 ↓ (6.5)	4.02 ↓ (4.18)	1.43 ↑ (1.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castellanzese
14.3%

Draw
22.5%

Ospitaletto
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

21.8%

64.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.7%

21.3%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellanzese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Ospitaletto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellanzese than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ospitaletto than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Castellanzese - Ospitaletto Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Baraye Y. ⚽,
21', Chessa M. 🟥,
45+1', 0 - 2, Messaggi C. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 0 - 3, Gritti M. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Castellanzese is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ospitaletto is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ospitaletto could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ospitaletto is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellanzese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USD Castellanzese
Italian Serie D - Group B
22.12.24	Castellanzese - Desenzano Calvina	1:1 ✺
15.12.24	Folgore Caratese - Castellanzese	5:1 ✺
08.12.24	Castellanzese - SantAngelo	1:3 ✺
01.12.24	Chievo - Castellanzese	2:1 ✺
24.11.24	Castellanzese - Varesina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TLLLT
- CPR Ospitaletto
Italian Serie D - Group B
21.12.24	Crema - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
15.12.24	Ospitaletto - Ciliverghe di Mazzano	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Club Milano - Ospitaletto	0:2 ✺
01.12.24	Pro Sesto - Ospitaletto	0:1 ✺
24.11.24	Ospitaletto - Cavenago Fanfulla	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
08.09.24	Ospitaletto - Castellanzese	2:0

Upcoming Matches