Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 5 - ROUND 19

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday


	Castelldefels		Badalona

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.9	2.5
	2.75	2.77	2.61
	2.65	2.9	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.32)	2.86 ↓ (3.1)	2.57 ↓ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castelldefels
33.7%

Draw
31.4%

Badalona
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.2%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

30.8%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castelldefels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castelldefels's form might have worsened.

Badalona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castelldefels than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castelldefels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 12).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castelldefels won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Including matches at home between the teams Castelldefels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UE Castelldefels
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	San Cristóbal - Castelldefels	0:6 ✺
21.01.24	Grama - Castelldefels	0:0 ✺
14.01.24	Castelldefels - Pobla de Mafumet	2:0 ✺
07.01.24	Peralada - Castelldefels	2:0 ✺
17.12.23	Castelldefels - Montañesa	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WTWLL
- CF Badalona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
28.01.24	Badalona - Vilassar de Mar	1:1 ✺
21.01.24	San Cristóbal - Badalona	3:1 ✺
14.01.24	Badalona - Grama	2:1 ✺
07.01.24	Pobla de Mafumet - Badalona	0:2 ✺
17.12.23	Badalona - Peralada	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
17.09.23	Badalona - Castelldefels	0:0
12.02.23	Castelldefels - Badalona	1:0
15.10.22	Badalona - Castelldefels	0:1

Castelldefels - Badalona: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide