Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday ⏱️ In 10h 25m 📅 Remind Me

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
France	19:45	DAZN France


	Castellonense		Almería

	1	X	2
	7	4.33	1.41
	6.5	4.6	1.46
	6.10	4.80	1.43
	5.94	4.06	1.4
	6	4.47	1.47	Watch
	5.8	3.95	1.37
	7.4	4.54	1.48
	5.6	4.3	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.29 ↓ (6.73)	4.38 ↓ (5.37)	1.44 ↑ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellonense
14.7%

Draw
21.1%

Almería
64.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.7%

17.1%

69.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.1%

16.3%

72.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellonense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Almería could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Castellonense - Almería Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

In recent outings, Castellonense has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Almería is in superb form heading into this trip (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Castellonense could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Almería holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Outrights of Spanish Copa del Rey for now

Almeria: 0.65%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Castellonense
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
24.10.26	Intercity - Castellonense	0:2 ✺
11.10.26	Minera - Castellonense	3:2 ✺
04.10.26	Castellonense - Real Murcia B	3:0 ✺
27.09.26	Lorca Deportiva - Castellonense	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Castellonense - Cieza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWLW
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
24.10.26	Almería - Real Oviedo	2:2 ✺
17.10.26	Real Sociedad B - Almería	2:4 ✺
11.10.26	Almería - Leganés	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Almería - Burgos	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Mallorca - Almería	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TWWWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
31.10.26	Eibar - Almería	✺

Castellonense - Almería: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide