Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: UD Almería Stadium (Almería) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Cid G. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Australia	06:00	beIN Connect
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 6
Mexico	13:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
New Zealand	08:00	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Philippines	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
Romania	22:00	Prima Sport PPV 2
Singapore	03:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Spain	21:00	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Thailand	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	15:00	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Almería		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.76	3.60	4.33	Watch
	1.75	3.60	4.10
	1.65	3.55	4.70	Watch
	1.80	3.75	4.81
	1.68	3.8	5.1	Watch
	1.78	3.60	4.70
	1.86	3.64	4.17	Watch
	1.77	3.75	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	3.66 ↑ (3.44)	4.54 ↑ (4.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Almería
53.6%

Draw
25.7%

Real Oviedo
20.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

27.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2%

25.5%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Almería has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Almería - Real Oviedo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Almería will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Luna M. 5. Pulido J. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 29. Dzodic S. 14. Javier Munoz 33. Junyent Q. 11. Arribas S. (C) 17. Cipenga B. 24. de la Fuente M.	13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 15. Rodriguez S. 16. Aldasoro A. 5. Lachhab Y. 10. Reina A. 8. Goti Lopez M. 32. Perez E. 25. Morales J.
Substitutes
21. Chumi 23. Embarba A. 8. Gui Guedes 28. Kone I. 15. Lelo L. 12. Leo Baptistao 13. Martinez F. (G) 7. Morcillo J. 32. Popovic A. 20. Sola A. 9. Thalys 31. Yaakobishvili A. (G)	2. Ahmed A. 19. Domingues B. 11. Gonzalez J. 24. Isfan A. 21. Jimenez D. 30. Marco Esteban 28. Menendez D. 18. Mingo V. 1. Narvaez M. (G) 17. Pedrola E. 20. Saenz P. 6. Villahermosa D.
Coaches
Garcia Pimienta	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Arribas S. ⚽, Junyent Q. (A),
27', 2 - 0, de la Fuente M. ⚽, Munoz A. (A),
45+1', Costas D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Aldasoro A. ↓, Saenz P. ↑,
46', Reina A. ↓, Mingo V. ↑,
53', Saenz P. 🟨,
54', Luna M. 🟨,
59', Morales J. ↓, Pedrola E. ↑,
64', Junyent Q. ↓, Embarba A. ↑,
64', Cipenga B. ↓, Lelo L. ↑,
69', Goti Lopez M. ↓, Villahermosa D. ↑,
75', Vidal N. 🟨,
78', de la Fuente M. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,
82', Embarba A. 🟨,
86', Mingo V. 🟨,
86', Costas D. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Gonzalez J. ⚽,
90', 2 - 2, Pulido J. (Own goal),
90+2', Villahermosa D. 🟨,

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion - LaLiga and 9th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Almería won 0.

Almería has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Oviedo has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Almería carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Almería: Chirino D. (Injury) Melamed N. (Knee Injury) Rodrigo Ely (Ankle Injury) Vesga M. (Knock).

Confirmed absences for Oviedo: Chaira I. (Shoulder Injury) Cruz J. (Injury) Dominguez C. (Yellow Cards) Fernandez C. (Injury) Ramos C. (Knee Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Almería in today's match, at odds of 1.67.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Almería has recorded 6 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:22 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Almería against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 15:9 goals (averaging 1.7:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Almeria	11	8	1	2	22:9	13	25
9	Oviedo	11	5	3	3	15:12	3	18

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga2 for now

Almeria: 18.26%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
17.10.26	Real Sociedad B - Almería	2:4 ✺
11.10.26	Almería - Leganés	3:0 ✺
03.10.26	Almería - Burgos	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Mallorca - Almería	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	Almería - Celta de Vigo B	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
18.10.26	Ceuta - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
12.10.26	Real Oviedo - Eibar	3:1 ✺
02.10.26	Eldense - Real Oviedo	4:1 ✺
27.09.26	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	2:0 ✺
20.09.26	Sabadell - Real Oviedo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.06.25	Real Oviedo - Almería	1:1
07.06.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:2
01.02.25	Almería - Real Oviedo	1:1
13.10.24	Real Oviedo - Almería	3:2
29.01.22	Real Oviedo - Almería	2:0
20.08.21	Almería - Real Oviedo	2:1
01.05.21	Almería - Real Oviedo	2:2

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