Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 6 - ROUND 21

Date: 18 February 2024, Sunday


	Castellonense		Elche Ilicitano

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.4	1.65
	4.94	3.21	1.67
	4.81	3.54	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.83 ↑ (4.3)	3.38 ↑ (3.23)	1.66 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellonense
18.7%

Draw
26.7%

Elche Ilicitano
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

27.8%

51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.5%

27.4%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Elche Ilicitano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elche Ilicitano than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion).

Castellonense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ilicitano in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Castellonense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ilicitano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellonense won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Castellonense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.02.24	Utiel - Castellonense	1:1 ✺
04.02.24	Castellonense - Levante B	3:1 ✺
28.01.24	Burriana - Castellonense	1:3 ✺
20.01.24	Atzeneta - Castellonense	1:0 ✺
13.01.24	Castellonense - Torrellano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 TWWLW
- Elche CF Ilicitano
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
11.02.24	Elche Ilicitano - Patacona	1:0 ✺
03.02.24	Español de San Vicente - Elche Ilicitano	0:1 ✺
27.01.24	Elche Ilicitano - Gandía	3:0 ✺
20.01.24	Elche Ilicitano - Soneja	3:2 ✺
14.01.24	Castellon B - Elche Ilicitano	2:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 6
30.09.23	Elche Ilicitano - Castellonense	6:0

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