The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castellonense 34.2%
Draw 31.3%
La Nucía 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
35.1%
30.3%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.6%
30.7%
35.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castellonense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
La Nucía has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellonense than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Nucía than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Castellonense - La Nucía Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs and 3rd in the Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Promotion Play Offs).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellonense won 2.
Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Castellonense has recorded 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:6 (averaging 0.8:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Castellonense against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 0:4 goals (averaging 0:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
3
Castellonense
7
5
0
2
12:6
6
15
6
La Nucia
7
4
0
3
11:8
3
12
Last Results with these Odds
La Nucía - the odds 2.59 are the expected chance of winning is 34.62%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Spain
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