Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 18 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Castalia (Castellón de la Plana)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
Colombia	Disney+
India	GXR World
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Peru	Disney+
Spain	DAZN Espana, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 2
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	Castellón		Eldense

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.5	5.25	Watch
	1.71	3.9	3.9
	1.54	4.5	5	Watch
	1.56	4.59	5.37
	1.63	4.4	4.78	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.8
	1.58	4.54	4.85	Watch
	1.54	4.5	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.65)	4.34 ↑ (3.85)	4.87 ↑ (4.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
59%

Draw
21.7%

Eldense
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.1%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.4%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	7.1%	14.3%

Castellón - Eldense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Eldense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Castellón: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Eldense (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Eldense (1.69) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Castellón (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Eldense (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 22. Chirino D. 5. Jimenez A. 14. Gil O. (C) 10. Sanchez R. 6. van den Belt T. 33. Vertrouwd J. 7. Moyita S. 19. Mabil A. 24. Camara O. 21. Calatrava A.	1. Martin D. (G) 15. Gamez F. 4. Dumic D. 24. Timor D. 3. Martos I. 17. Garcia V. 8. Ortuno S. (C) 12. Diawara A. 10. Llabres J. 25. Collado D. 22. Gassama S.
Substitutes
13. Abedzadeh A. (G) 23. Calavera J. 16. Cipenga B. 9. de Miguel J. 25. Escobar J. 12. Jojic M. 18. Lottin A. 20. Markanich N. 51. Pastor G. 17. Ruiz S. 4. Suero I. 2. Zarfino G.	36. Aceves A. (G) 21. Bernal A. 7. Bouzaidi S. 6. Camarasa V. 20. Chapela I. 19. Fede 13. Mackay I. (G) 28. Mendez D. 2. Parra R. 9. Quintana Nacho
Coaches
Plat J.	Oltra J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Gamez F. 🟨,
45+4', Gil O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Gil O. ↓, Escobar J. ↑,
61', Moyita S. ↓, Suero I. ↑,
66', Gassama S. ↓, Quintana Nacho ↑,
66', Collado D. ↓, Chapela I. ↑,
69', Jimenez A. 🟨,
71', 0 - 1, Llabres J. (Pen),
77', Vertrouwd J. ↓, Markanich N. ↑,
78', Jimenez A. ↓, Ruiz S. ↑,
81', Suero I. 🟨,
81', Dumic D. 🟨,
82', Gamez F. ↓, Parra R. ↑,
82', Martos I. ↓, Mendez D. ↑,
84', Mendez D. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Markanich N. ⚽, Calatrava A. (A),
86', Llabres J. ↓, Fede ↑,
90+1', Calatrava A. ↓, Zarfino G. ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Castellón has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eldense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Eldense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Castellón is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Castellón: Aurelio D. (Knee Injury) Mamah K. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Eldense: Masca (Injury) Ortuno J. (Red Card) Pina (Injury) Ropero U. (Injury)

There are questionable in Eldense: Mendez D. (Injury)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Castellón won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Castellón won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Eldense - the odds 4.75 are the expected chance of winning is 19.56%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
10.05.25	Mirandés - Castellón	3:2 ✺
05.05.25	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	4:3 ✺
27.04.25	Málaga - Castellón	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Castellón - Almería	4:1 ✺
13.04.25	Racing Santander - Castellón	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWT
- CD Eldense
Spanish LaLiga2
11.05.25	Eldense - Málaga	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Almería - Eldense	5:0 ✺
26.04.25	Eldense - Córdoba	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Ferrol - Eldense	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Eldense - Sporting de Gijón	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
06.10.24	Eldense - Castellón	2:3
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
12.02.23	Castellón - Eldense	2:0
30.10.22	Eldense - Castellón	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
28.02.18	Castellón - Eldense	2:1
11.10.17	Eldense - Castellón	1:1

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