Match Info

Date: 26 March 2021, Friday


	Castellón		Espanyol

	1	X	2
	6.5	3.8	1.55	Watch
	6.5	3.8	1.53
	6.75	3.7	1.55	Watch
	6.6	3.6	1.54
	7.2	3.87	1.58
	5.5	3.3	1.7	Watch
	6.8	3.6	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (5.42)	3.67 ↑ (3.27)	1.57 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castellón
14.4%

Draw
25.7%

Espanyol
60%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.3%

28.6%

54.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

15.1%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Espanyol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Espanyol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castellón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (-31.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Espanyol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	11.1%	72.2%

Castellón - Espanyol Predictions

Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Castellón will win (votes: 12 - 16.7%). Espanyol will win (votes: 52 - 72.2%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Espanyol: 61.9% – 82.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 18 and 2 in the zone Promotion to LaLiga).

Castellón has a chance of relegated (44%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Espanyol has not chance of relegated, has a chance of prom. playoffs (19%), has a good chance of promoted (88%), has a chance of win league (47%).

Recent matches Castellón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Espanyol is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Espanyol is certain favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Castellón won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish LaLiga2
21.03.21	Lugo - Castellón	0:0 ✺
13.03.21	Castellón - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
06.03.21	Leganés - Castellón	0:0 ✺
27.02.21	Castellón - Las Palmas	4:0 ✺
21.02.21	Girona - Castellón	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 TWTWL
- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga2
20.03.21	Espanyol - UD Logroñés	4:0 ✺
13.03.21	Mirandés - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
05.03.21	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
28.02.21	Sporting de Gijón - Espanyol	1:1 ✺
20.02.21	Espanyol - Sabadell	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.01.21	Espanyol - Castellón	2:0

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