Match Info

LaLiga - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	beIN Connect
Austria	21:00	DAZN
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV
Bangladesh	02:00	Begin
Bolivia	16:00	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	17:00	Disney+
Bulgaria	22:00	Max Sport 4
Canada	16:00	TSN+
Chile	17:00	DirecTV Sports
China	04:00	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV2 Play
Ecuador	15:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Europe	—	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	00:00	Silk Sport 1
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports 1, Nova Sports Prime
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	21:00	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	01:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	22:00	ONE Sport
Italy	21:00	DAZN Italia
Japan	05:00	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	14:00	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2
New Zealand	09:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	21:00	SuperSport LaLiga
North Central America	—	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	15:00	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	21:00	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	23:00	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	04:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Spain	21:00	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	21:00	TV4 Play
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	23:00	S Sport, S Sport+
United Kingdom	20:00	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	17:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	16:00	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	16:00	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	SCTV 15


	Espanyol		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.5
	1.9	3.55	4.15	Watch
	1.93	3.52	4.29
	1.86	3.59	4.35	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.98	3.59	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	4.26 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Espanyol
50.2%

Draw
27.4%

Real Oviedo
22.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

27.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.1%	4.8%	12%

Espanyol - Real Oviedo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Espanyol (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Espanyol (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 - Oviedo (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Oviedo (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (69 of 82 users predict this - 84.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.25% – 92.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Espanyol will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 38 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 33 - 86.8%). Oviedo (votes: 4 - 10.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 38. Riedel C. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 22. Romero C. 10. Lozano P. 4. Gonzalez U. 16. Ngonge C. 14. Terrats R. 24. Dolan T. 19. Garcia K.	13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 12. Calvo D. (C) 16. Carmo D. 25. Lopez J. 6. Sibo K. 23. Fonseca N. 21. Ilic L. 5. Reina A. 15. Fernandez T. 9. Vinas F.
Substitutes
5. Calero F. 9. Fernandez Jaen R. 1. Fortuno A. (G) 28. Gomez F. 17. Jofre 11. Milla P. 15. Rubio M. 12. Salinas J. 2. Sanchez R. 30. Tristan P. (G)	27. Agudin P. 3. Alhassane R. 2. Bailly E. 8. Cazorla S. 7. Chaira I. 11. Colombatto S. 14. Ejaria O. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 1. Moldovan H. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez M.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Reina A. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
12', Ngonge C. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Garcia K. ⚽, Ngonge C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Fernandez T. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
56', Ilic L. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
56', Fonseca N. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
61', Colombatto S. 🟨,
62', Lozano P. 🟨,
62', Ngonge C. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
68', Terrats R. ↓, Fernandez Jaen R. ↑,
72', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
75', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
79', Lozano P. ↓, Calero F. ↑,
79', Dolan T. ↓, Jofre ↑,
83', Lopez J. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Espanyol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Espanyol is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Espanyol: Exposito (Yellow Cards) Pickel C. (Red Card) Puado J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Injury) Borbas T. (Injury) Costas D. (Muscle Injury) Dendoncker L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Espanyol: Roca A. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Espanyol	10	2	2	6	12:14	-2	8

Outrights of Spanish LaLiga for now

Espanyol: 0.17%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.26	Elche - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	4:2 ✺
14.02.26	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
30.01.26	Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
04.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Real Oviedo - Girona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.10.25	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
23.06.24	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	2:0
16.06.24	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	1:0
20.05.24	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	2:1
01.12.23	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	2:0
05.03.21	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1
27.09.20	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2

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