What is the expert prediction for Espanyol vs Real Oviedo?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Espanyol vs Real Oviedo. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

How to watch Espanyol vs Real Oviedo live?

Check our broadcast section for official streaming options and live coverage details.

Espanyol vs Real Oviedo Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, March 09, 2026)

Match Info

LaLiga - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2026, Monday

Location: RCDE Stadium (Cornella de Llobregat)

Referee: Alberola J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 3, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Bangladesh	Begin
Bolivia	Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 3
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 8, Cytavision Sports 8
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Europe	Go3 Sport 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Georgia	Silk Sport 1
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 1, Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 2
Hungary	Spiler2 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, SCTV, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan, U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 2
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Sooka
Maldives	ICE Xtra, Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 4
Mexico	Izzi TV, Sky Sport
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Nigeria	SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Eleven Sports 2
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3, Prima TV
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Match TV, Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 2
Singapore	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	Nova Sport 4
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
South-africa	SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	LaLiga TV Bar, M+ LaLiga
Sweden	TV4 Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport, S Sport+
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Usa	DAZN Espanol, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, Fubo Sports Network
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter
Vietnam	SCTV 15


	Espanyol		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.87	3.3	4.5
	1.9	3.55	4.15	Watch
	1.93	3.52	4.29
	1.86	3.59	4.35	Watch
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.98	3.59	4.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.85)	3.48 ↑ (3.47)	4.26 ↓ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Espanyol
50.2%

Draw
27.4%

Real Oviedo
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

27.4%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

27.1%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Espanyol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Espanyol than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.1%	4.8%	12%

banner

Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - Espanyol (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Espanyol (1.34) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1.5 - Oviedo (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Oviedo (1.95) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Espanyol will win (69 of 82 users predict this - 84.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.25% – 92.05%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Espanyol will win (31 of 34 users predict this - 91.18%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 39 Selected Experts predict this event. Espanyol (votes: 34 - 87.2%). Oviedo (votes: 4 - 10.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Dmitrovic M. (G) 23. El Hilali O. 38. Riedel C. 6. Cabrera L. (C) 22. Romero C. 10. Lozano P. 4. Gonzalez U. 16. Ngonge C. 14. Terrats R. 24. Dolan T. 19. Garcia K.	13. Escandell A. (G) 22. Vidal N. 12. Calvo D. (C) 16. Carmo D. 25. Lopez J. 6. Sibo K. 23. Fonseca N. 21. Ilic L. 5. Reina A. 15. Fernandez T. 9. Vinas F.
Substitutes
5. Calero F. 9. Fernandez Jaen R. 1. Fortuno A. (G) 28. Gomez F. 17. Jofre 11. Milla P. 15. Rubio M. 12. Salinas J. 2. Sanchez R. 30. Tristan P. (G)	27. Agudin P. 3. Alhassane R. 2. Bailly E. 8. Cazorla S. 7. Chaira I. 11. Colombatto S. 14. Ejaria O. 19. Fores A. 10. Hassan H. 1. Moldovan H. (G)
Coaches
Gonzalez M.	Almada G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Reina A. ⚽, Fernandez T. (A),
12', Ngonge C. 🟨,
36', 1 - 1, Garcia K. ⚽, Ngonge C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
56', Fernandez T. ↓, Chaira I. ↑,
56', Ilic L. ↓, Hassan H. ↑,
56', Fonseca N. ↓, Colombatto S. ↑,
61', Colombatto S. 🟨,
62', Lozano P. 🟨,
62', Ngonge C. ↓, Milla P. ↑,
68', Terrats R. ↓, Fernandez Jaen R. ↑,
72', Reina A. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
75', Fernandez Jaen R. 🟨,
79', Lozano P. ↓, Calero F. ↑,
79', Dolan T. ↓, Jofre ↑,
83', Lopez J. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 7 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 3.

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Espanyol may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Espanyol is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Espanyol: Exposito (Yellow Cards) Pickel C. (Red Card) Puado J. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Injury) Borbas T. (Injury) Costas D. (Muscle Injury) Dendoncker L. (Injury)

There are questionable in Espanyol: Roca A. (Shoulder Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Espanyol won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Espanyol won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

banner

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Espanyol	38	12	10	16	43:55	-12	46
20	Oviedo	38	6	11	21	26:60	-34	29

Last Results with these Odds

Espanyol - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 51.39%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RCD Espanyol
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.26	Elche - Espanyol	2:2 ✺
21.02.26	Atlético Madrid - Espanyol	4:2 ✺
14.02.26	Espanyol - Celta de Vigo	2:2 ✺
09.02.26	Villarreal - Espanyol	4:1 ✺
30.01.26	Espanyol - Deportivo Alavés	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTLL
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga
04.03.26	Rayo Vallecano - Real Oviedo	3:0 ✺
28.02.26	Real Oviedo - Atlético Madrid	0:1 ✺
21.02.26	Real Sociedad - Real Oviedo	3:3 ✺
15.02.26	Real Oviedo - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Real Oviedo - Girona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
17.10.25	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2
Spanish LaLiga2
23.06.24	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	2:0
16.06.24	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	1:0
20.05.24	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	2:1
01.12.23	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	2:0
05.03.21	Espanyol - Real Oviedo	1:1
27.09.20	Real Oviedo - Espanyol	0:2

Espanyol - Real Oviedo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide