Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 6

Date: 30 September 2023, Saturday


	Castellón		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	5.25
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.52	4	6
	1.55	3.98	6.28
	1.53	3.92	5.8
	1.51	3.85	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.72)	3.91 ↑ (3.25)	5.7 ↑ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Castellón
60.4%

Draw
23.5%

Mérida AD
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

28.1%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26.9%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castellón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Castellón's performance.

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castellón than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Castellón - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Crettaz G. (G) 18. Indias I. 14. Gil O. 17. Ruiz S. 16. Sanchez M. 7. Moyita S. 23. Calavera J. 19. Villahermosa D. 10. Sanchez R. 4. Medunjanin H. 9. de Miguel J.	1. Juanpa (G) 19. Felipe 4. Bonaque M. 15. Jose Elo 21. Llacer L. 23. Rodriguez D. 5. Acosta L. 14. Beneit R. 6. Gutierrez I. 10. Mukai A. 9. Chuma
Substitutes
3. Anton J. 12. Chirino D. 11. De Leon J. 28. Fale M. 8. Gracia J. 2. Granero B. 20. Gronning S. 27. Minana S. 24. Schwake B. (G) 22. Suero I. 35. Torner Rosell S. (G) 33. Vertrouwd J.	30. Borrella J. 22. Bourdal T. 28. Carvajal I. 26. Dabo Gnako Y. 11. Escardo A. 25. Oliveira J. (G) 3. Prada R. 27. Sainz J. 13. Vicente D. (G)

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 8).

Castellón in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Mérida AD is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Castellón is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Castellón to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Castellón
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.09.23	Recreativo Huelva - Castellón	0:3 ✺
17.09.23	Antequera - Castellón	1:1 ✺
10.09.23	Castellón - Intercity	3:1 ✺
03.09.23	Melilla - Castellón	1:2 ✺
26.08.23	Castellón - Málaga	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WTWWW
- Mérida AD
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
23.09.23	Mérida AD - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
17.09.23	Algeciras - Mérida AD	2:0 ✺
10.09.23	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0 ✺
02.09.23	Atlético Sanluqueño - Mérida AD	2:2 ✺
26.08.23	Mérida AD - Linares Deportivo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LLWTW

Upcoming Matches