Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 20Date: 1 February 2026, SundayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | WebDirecto |
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Castilleja |
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Pozoblanco |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.48 |
2.88 |
2.78 |
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2.54 |
2.87 |
2.9 |
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 |
25.00 |
12.36 |
1.01 |
 Watch |
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2.5 |
2.7 |
2.88 |
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2.48 |
2.83 |
2.82 |
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2.54 |
2.8 |
2.85 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.26 ↑
(2.74) |
4.41 ↑
(3.3) |
2.54 ↑
(2.34) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Castilleja
20.5% | Draw
29.1% | Pozoblanco
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castilleja's form might have worsened.Pozoblanco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pozoblanco's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castilleja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pozoblanco than the current prediction. (-11.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Pozoblanco, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Castilleja - Pozoblanco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 15', 0 - 1, Leon M. ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 2, Perez R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 10).Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.Castilleja may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Castilleja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).Including home match between the teams, Castilleja won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Pozoblanco | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 9 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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