Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 10 - Round 17Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Coria CF |
|
Castilleja |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.05 |
2.58 |
|
 |
2.34 |
3.36 |
2.76 |
 Watch |
 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
2.9 |
|
 |
2.34 |
3.13 |
2.83 |
|
 |
2.36 |
3.2 |
2.75 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.28) |
3.13 ↓
(3.25) |
2.76 ↓
(2.84) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Coria CF
38.2% | Draw
29% | Castilleja
32.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coria CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Castilleja has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Coria CF than the current prediction. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (-1.4%)Coria CF - Castilleja Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Cazorla A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90+8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Coria CF is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).Castilleja has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Coria CF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Coria CF won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).Including home match between the teams, Coria CF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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