The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castilleja 16.7%
Draw 26.9%
Bollullos 56.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.5%
29.8%
43.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.2%
29.5%
44.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castilleja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castilleja's form might have worsened.
Bollullos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bollullos's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castilleja than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castilleja, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bollullos than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bollullos, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castilleja - Bollullos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
11', 0 - 1, Ponce A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Bollullos is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Bollullos
5
0
2
3
6:10
-4
2
Last Results with these Odds
Bollullos - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 43.7%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.