Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 3 - Round 18Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday
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Vimenor |
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Castro |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.85 |
3.3 |
3.75 |
|
 |
2.33 |
3.13 |
3.00 |
 Watch |
 |
1.8 |
3.4 |
3.8 |
|
 |
1.81 |
3.2 |
4.24 |
|
 |
1.81 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(1.97) |
3.25 ↓
(3.45) |
3.8 ↑
(3.35) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Vimenor
47.7% | Draw
28.2% | Castro
24.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vimenor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vimenor than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro than the current prediction. (+1.6%)Vimenor - Castro Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Castro (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Castro (votes: 1 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (3 - 0)
- 17', 1 - 0, Campos Sanchez J. C. ⚽,
- 22', 2 - 0, Campos Sanchez J. C. ⚽,
- 24', 3 - 0, Vega Saenz E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 71', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vimenor won 2.Recent performances by Vimenor have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).Castro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1). Vimenor is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Vimenor won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 1.5:1.2).Including home matches between the teams, Vimenor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 2.3:1).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | Vimenor | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 10 |
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| 11 | Castro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 3 | | | 07.09.25 | Castro - Vimenor | 2:2 | | 01.02.25 | Vimenor - Castro | 2:1 | | 22.09.24 | Castro - Vimenor | 1:1 | | 04.02.24 | Castro - Vimenor | 2:0 | | 17.09.23 | Vimenor - Castro | 1:0 | | 19.03.23 | Castro - Vimenor | 3:0 | | 20.11.22 | Vimenor - Castro | 2:2 |
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