Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 24

Date: 2 April 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castro Daire		Beira-Mar

	1	X	2
	5.5	3.6	1.52
	5.75	3.3	1.55
	5.94	3.43	1.64
	6	3.64	1.55
	6	3.6	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.84 ↑ (5.08)	3.51 ↑ (3.48)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro Daire
15.6%

Draw
25.9%

Beira-Mar
58.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

17.9%

26.1%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5%

25.4%

57.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro Daire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Beira-Mar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beira-Mar than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Castro Daire - Beira Mar Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Beira-Mar will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

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Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

Castro Daire is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Beira-Mar is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Castro Daire could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Beira-Mar is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castro Daire won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Castro Daire won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
26.03.23	Castro Daire - Leça	0:2 ✺
18.03.23	Marítimo B - Castro Daire	5:1 ✺
12.03.23	Castro Daire - Guarda Desportiva	4:0 ✺
05.03.23	Lusitânia - Castro Daire	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Castro Daire - Gondomar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLT
- SC Beira-Mar
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.03.23	Resende - Beira-Mar	0:1 ✺
12.03.23	Beira-Mar - Marítimo B	2:1 ✺
05.03.23	Guarda Desportiva - Beira-Mar	1:2 ✺
26.02.23	Beira-Mar - Lusitânia	1:2 ✺
19.02.23	Gondomar - Beira-Mar	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Beira-Mar - Castro Daire	1:0
21.02.21	Castro Daire - Beira-Mar	2:1
07.11.20	Beira-Mar - Castro Daire	2:0

Castro Daire - Beira-Mar