Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 20

Date: 26 February 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castro Daire		Gondomar

	1	X	2
	3.25	3	2.05
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.84	3.28	1.93
	3.78	3.32	1.92
	3.05	3.1	2.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.38 ↑ (2.93)	3.16 ↑ (3)	2.05 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Castro Daire
26.9%

Draw
28.8%

Gondomar
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

30%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.5%

28.8%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro Daire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Gondomar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gondomar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gondomar than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Castro Daire - Gondomar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 7).

One and the other team are in an unacceptable form.

Gondomar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Castro Daire won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Castro Daire won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Salgueiros 08 - Castro Daire	1:1 ✺
12.02.23	Castro Daire - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Alpendorada - Castro Daire	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Castro Daire - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Camacha - Castro Daire	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 TTLLT
- Gondomar SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
19.02.23	Gondomar - Beira-Mar	0:2 ✺
12.02.23	Marítimo B - Gondomar	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Gondomar - Guarda Desportiva	2:2 ✺
29.01.23	Lusitânia - Gondomar	4:0 ✺
22.01.23	Resende - Gondomar	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTTLL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
13.11.22	Gondomar - Castro Daire	3:1
29.01.22	Gondomar - Castro Daire	2:1
31.10.21	Castro Daire - Gondomar	1:2

Castro Daire - Gondomar

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Castro Daire - Gondomar Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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