Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 19

Date: 19 February 2023, Sunday


	Salgueiros 08		Castro Daire

	1	X	2
	1.39	4	7
	1.35	3.8	7
	1.41	4.58	7
	1.41	4.05	7.7
	1.4	4	7.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.5)	4.09 ↑ (3.79)	7.22 ↑ (5.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Salgueiros 08
65.2%

Draw
22.2%

Castro Daire
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

24%

15.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

23.1%

14.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salgueiros 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Castro Daire has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salgueiros 08 than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal (Play Offs) and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Salgueiros is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castro Daire is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Salgueiros is certain favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Salgueiros won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Salgueiros won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Salgueiros 08
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Beira-Mar - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Salgueiros 08 - Marítimo B	1:1 ✺
29.01.23	Guarda Desportiva - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Salgueiros 08 - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
15.01.23	Gondomar - Salgueiros 08	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LTWTW
- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
12.02.23	Castro Daire - Rebordosa	2:2 ✺
05.02.23	Alpendorada - Castro Daire	1:0 ✺
29.01.23	Castro Daire - Valadares Gaia	0:1 ✺
22.01.23	Camacha - Castro Daire	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Castro Daire - Machico	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.11.22	Castro Daire - Salgueiros 08	1:2
06.02.22	Castro Daire - Salgueiros 08	1:1
07.11.21	Salgueiros 08 - Castro Daire	2:1

Salgueiros 08 - Castro Daire: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide