Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 16

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castro Daire		Valadares Gaia

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Castro Daire
33.8%

Draw
31.4%

Valadares Gaia
34.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.4%

28.4%

39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.1%

28.1%

39.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

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Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Castro Daire won 2.

Castro Daire is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Valadares Gaia is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Castro Daire won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Castro Daire won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-2.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Camacha - Castro Daire	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Castro Daire - Machico	0:1 ✺
18.12.22	Resende - Castro Daire	2:2 ✺
11.12.22	Beira-Mar - Castro Daire	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Castro Daire - Marítimo B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 TLTLL
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
22.01.23	Valadares Gaia - Beira-Mar	0:2 ✺
15.01.23	Marítimo B - Valadares Gaia	2:1 ✺
08.01.23	Guarda Desportiva - Valadares Gaia	0:3 ✺
18.12.22	Valadares Gaia - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LLWWT

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	Valadares Gaia - Castro Daire	0:0
13.02.22	Valadares Gaia - Castro Daire	1:1
28.11.21	Castro Daire - Valadares Gaia	2:1
10.02.21	Valadares Gaia - Castro Daire	1:0
20.09.20	Castro Daire - Valadares Gaia	2:0
16.02.20	Castro Daire - Valadares Gaia	2:1
22.09.19	Valadares Gaia - Castro Daire	2:0

Castro Daire - Valadares Gaia