Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 14

Date: 15 January 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castro Daire		Machico

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Castro Daire
42.9%

Draw
29.4%

Machico
27.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castro Daire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Machico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Castro Daire than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machico than the current prediction. (+1%)

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This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 11 in the zone Relegation).

Castro Daire is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Machico is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Castro Daire could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Castro Daire is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Castro Daire
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Resende - Castro Daire	2:2 ✺
11.12.22	Beira-Mar - Castro Daire	1:0 ✺
04.12.22	Castro Daire - Marítimo B	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Castro Daire	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Castro Daire - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 TLLWL
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
08.01.23	Beira-Mar - Machico	3:3 ✺
18.12.22	Machico - Marítimo B	0:2 ✺
11.12.22	Guarda Desportiva - Machico	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Machico - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Gondomar - Machico	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.7 TLWWL

Castro Daire - Machico