Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 11

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Guarda Desportiva		Machico

	1	X	2
	3	3.2	2.1
	3.25	2.8	2.15
	3.1	3.15	2.13
	3.84	2.96	2.11
	3.2	3	2.15
	3.52	3.3	1.95
	3.15	3.2	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.39)	3.09 ↑ (2.89)	2.11 ↓ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda Desportiva
27.6%

Draw
29.4%

Machico
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

31.3%

30.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

29.8%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guarda Desportiva's form might have worsened.

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machico's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guarda Desportiva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machico than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machico, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Guarda Desportiva - Machico Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Guarda Desportiva will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Machico will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 12 in the zone Relegation).

Guarda Desportiva has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Machico is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Leça - Guarda Desportiva	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Castro Daire	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Beira-Mar - Guarda Desportiva	3:1 ✺
13.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Marítimo B	0:1 ✺
06.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Resende	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
04.12.22	Machico - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Gondomar - Machico	3:2 ✺
20.11.22	Machico - Salgueiros 08	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Rebordosa - Machico	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.11.22	BSAD - Machico	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLLL

Guarda Desportiva - Machico: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide