Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 10

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Machico		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	5	3.5	1.57
	5.6	3.55	1.47
	5.2	3.55	1.58
	5.72	3.82	1.58
	5.5	3.3	1.6
	5.2	3.82	1.55
	5.2	3.65	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.35 ↓ (5.88)	3.6 ↓ (3.77)	1.56 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machico
16.9%

Draw
25.2%

Lusitânia
57.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.4%

24%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

23.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machico than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Machico - Lusitânia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Machico will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Lusitânia will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Machico has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Lusitânia is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Lusitânia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Machico
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Gondomar - Machico	3:2 ✺
20.11.22	Machico - Salgueiros 08	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Rebordosa - Machico	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
10.11.22	BSAD - Machico	4:0 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
06.11.22	Machico - Alpendorada	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.11.22	Lusitânia - Leça	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Castro Daire - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Lusitânia - Beira-Mar	2:2 ✺
06.11.22	Marítimo B - Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Lusitânia - Guarda Desportiva	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWTTW

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