Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 13

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday


	Guarda Desportiva		Valadares Gaia

	1	X	2
	5.75	4	1.44
	5.5	3.3	1.54
	5.6	3.9	1.48
	6.35	3.83	1.53
	5.72	3.95	1.56
	5.8	4	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.79 ↑ (5.1)	3.83 ↑ (3.81)	1.51 ↓ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarda Desportiva
15.8%

Draw
23.8%

Valadares Gaia
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

23.6%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.3%

23%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarda Desportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Valadares Gaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guarda Desportiva than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	12.5%	50%

Guarda Desportiva - Valadares Gaia Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Guarda Desportiva will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Valadares Gaia will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Valadares Gaia: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 8).

Guarda Desportiva has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Valadares Gaia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Valadares Gaia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Valadares Gaia to win the game is with odds 1.63.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarda Desportiva
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Camacha - Guarda Desportiva	4:1 ✺
11.12.22	Guarda Desportiva - Machico	2:3 ✺
04.12.22	Leça - Guarda Desportiva	2:0 ✺
27.11.22	Guarda Desportiva - Castro Daire	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Beira-Mar - Guarda Desportiva	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
18.12.22	Valadares Gaia - Lusitânia	2:0 ✺
11.12.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	2:2 ✺
04.12.22	Valadares Gaia - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Rebordosa - Valadares Gaia	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Valadares Gaia - Alpendorada	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WTLLW

Guarda Desportiva - Valadares Gaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide