Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 12

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday


	Valadares Gaia		Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	2.95	3	2.2
	3.1	2.75	2.28
	3.05	3	2.22
	3.4	2.88	2.29
	3.2	2.9	2.2
	3.18	3.06	2.18
	3.1	3.1	2.26
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.14 ↑ (2.5)	2.96 ↓ (3.1)	2.23 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Valadares Gaia
28.8%

Draw
30.6%

Lusitânia
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

29.1%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

30.1%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Valadares Gaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Valadares Gaia's form might have worsened.

Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusitânia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valadares Gaia than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Valadares Gaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitânia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone Relegation and 6).

Valadares Gaia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lusitânia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lusitânia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Valadares Gaia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Valadares Gaia
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Gondomar - Valadares Gaia	2:2 ✺
04.12.22	Valadares Gaia - Salgueiros 08	0:1 ✺
27.11.22	Rebordosa - Valadares Gaia	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Valadares Gaia - Alpendorada	2:0 ✺
13.11.22	Resende - Valadares Gaia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TLLWL
- Lusitânia FC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
11.12.22	Lusitânia - Camacha	2:1 ✺
04.12.22	Machico - Lusitânia	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Lusitânia - Leça	1:0 ✺
20.11.22	Castro Daire - Lusitânia	0:2 ✺
13.11.22	Lusitânia - Beira-Mar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
31.01.21	Valadares Gaia - Lusitânia	0:0
15.11.20	Lusitânia - Valadares Gaia	5:2
17.11.19	Lusitânia - Valadares Gaia	5:0

Upcoming Matches