Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group I - Round 36

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Castrovillari		Portici

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Castrovillari
27.2%

Draw
26.5%

Portici
46.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.9%

27.6%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

26.7%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Castrovillari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Portici has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Portici's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portici than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

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✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.04.24	Castrovillari - San Luca	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Castrovillari - Acireale	0:1 ✺
17.03.24	Reggina - Castrovillari	3:1 ✺
10.03.24	Castrovillari - Igea Virtus Barcellona	1:1 ✺
03.03.24	Sancataldese - Castrovillari	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WLLTT
- Portici 1906
Italian Serie D - Group I
07.04.24	Ragusa - Portici	4:0 ✺
28.03.24	Portici - Città di SantAgata	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Gioiese - Portici	2:3 ✺
17.03.24	Portici - Licata	1:0 ✺
03.03.24	Siracusa - Portici	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LTWWL

Castrovillari - Portici