Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday 🏁 Finished


	Giarre		Castrovillari

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	2.95
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.23	3	2.85
	2.25	3.02	2.86
	2.33	2.86	3.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.2)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	2.96 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Giarre
39.6%

Draw
30.1%

Castrovillari
30.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.9%

29.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

21.6%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Giarre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Castrovillari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giarre than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Giarre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrovillari than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Castrovillari could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Giarre - Castrovillari Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Play Out).

Giarre is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Castrovillari is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Giarre will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Giarre Calcio 1946
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.12.21	Giarre - Santa Maria Cilento	0:2 ✺
28.11.21	Troina - Giarre	1:1 ✺
21.11.21	Giarre - Rende	1:1 ✺
14.11.21	Sancataldese - Giarre	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Giarre - Cittanovese	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LTTLL
- ASD Castrovillari Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group I
05.12.21	Castrovillari - Sancataldese	1:3 ✺
28.11.21	Santa Maria Cilento - Castrovillari	1:3 ✺
21.11.21	Castrovillari - Trapani	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Rende - Castrovillari	1:0 ✺
07.11.21	Castrovillari - Acireale	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 LWWLT

Giarre - Castrovillari

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Giarre - Castrovillari Predictions

Preview

Form

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