The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Castrumfavara 24.9%
Draw 30.7%
Sambiase 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
26.5%
37.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
26%
37.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castrumfavara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Castrumfavara's form might have worsened.
Sambiase has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sambiase's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castrumfavara than the current prediction. (+11.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Castrumfavara, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambiase than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sambiase, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Castrumfavara - Sambiase Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, ⚽,
42', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group I (Play Out: ) and 7).
Castrumfavara is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Sambiase has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Sambiase may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Sambiase has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).
Including home match between the teams, Castrumfavara won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Watch
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