Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	RaiPlay, RAI Sport, SKY Go Italia
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	FIFA+


	Catania		Pescara

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.9	2.85
	2.42	3.05	2.95
	2.41	3.1	3.13
	2.44	3.08	3.02	Watch
	2.4	3.28	3.03
	2.25	3.1	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.2)	3.09 ↑ (2.98)	3.03 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Catania
39.1%

Draw
30.2%

Pescara
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

30.9%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

29.5%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pescara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pescara than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Catania - Pescara Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Pescara (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Pescara (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Pescara (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Celli A. 19. Raimo A. 16. Quaini A. 7. Di Tacchio F. 33. Anastasio A. 10. Jimenez K. 21. Stoppa M. 9. Inglese R.	22. Plizzari A. (G) 77. Pierozzi E. 13. Brosco R. 23. Pellacani F. 27. Moruzzi B. 6. Squizzato N. 8. Dagasso M. 14. Valzania L. 20. Bentivegna A. 10. Merola D. 21. Ferraris A.
Substitutes
63. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 12. Butano D. (G) 77. Dalmonte N. 11. De Paoli A. 6. De Rose F. 13. Farroni A. (G) 37. Forti C. 20. Frisenna G. 44. Guglielmotti D. 32. Montalto A. 8. Sturaro S.	9. Alberti T. 40. Arena A. 11. Cangiano G. 16. Crialese C. 28. De Marco A. 5. Kraja E. 79. Lancini E. 2. Letizia G. 26. Lonardi L. 7. Meazzi L. 12. Profeta N. (G) 30. Saccomanni G. 1. Saio I. (G) 25. Staver C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Dagasso M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valzania L. ↓, Meazzi L. ↑,
46', Jimenez K. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
46', Quaini A. ↓, Sturaro S. ↑,
48', Ierardi M. 🟨,
53', Celli A. 🟨,
55', Sturaro S. 🟨,
57', Bentivegna A. ↓, Cangiano G. ↑,
62', Raimo A. ↓, Guglielmotti D. ↑,
76', Brosco R. 🟨,
80', Stoppa M. ↓, De Paoli A. ↑,
80', Pierozzi E. ↓, Letizia G. ↑,
84', Celli A. ↓, Montalto A. ↑,
86', 0 - 1, Merola D. ⚽,
90+1', Merola D. ↓, Tonin R. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Catania may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Pescara has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 1.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group A
07.05.25	Catania - Potenza	1:0 ✺
04.05.25	Catania - Giugliano	3:2 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	Potenza - Catania	1:2 ✺
12.04.25	Cavese - Catania	0:1 ✺
06.04.25	Catania - Avellino	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWL
- Pescara
Italian Serie C Group A
07.05.25	Pescara - Pianese	2:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Pescara - Campobasso	3:0 ✺
23.04.25	Legnago Salus - Pescara	1:3 ✺
13.04.25	Pescara - Gubbio	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Pescara - Arezzo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
13.12.23	Catania - Pescara	2:0
Italian Serie B
22.02.15	Pescara - Catania	1:0
28.09.14	Catania - Pescara	2:1
Italian Serie A
11.05.13	Catania - Pescara	1:0
21.12.12	Pescara - Catania	2:1

Upcoming Matches