Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 11

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Di Mario L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	15:00	NOW TV, RAI 2, RaiPlay, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Arena
Switzerland	15:00	Sunrise TV


	Catania		Giugliano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.33	4.60	7.00
	1.34	4.5	7.6	Watch
	1.37	4.67	8.65
	1.37	4.44	7.7	Watch
	1.35	4.55	8.55
	1.4	4.39	7.84	Watch
	1.35	4.8	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.41)	4.56 ↑ (4.32)	7.76 ↑ (6.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
67.9%

Draw
20.2%

Giugliano
11.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.2%

21.3%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

19.8%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Giugliano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Catania - Giugliano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 35. Cabianca E. 15. Di Gennaro M. 6. Allegretto A. 23. Lunetta G. 16. Quaini A. 4. Vallocchia A. 32. Masciangelo E. 18. Cavuoti N. 10. Cicerelli E. (C) 9. Coda M.	1. Bolletta L. (G) 16. Improta R. 5. Pedro Justiniano 24. Caldore M. 3. Panico C. 8. De Rosa R. (C) 17. Esposito G. 44. Peluso L. 4. Zammarini R. 7. Galletta U. 10. Balde I.
Substitutes
7. Bruzzaniti G. 70. Catania N. 11. Caturano S. 30. Corbari A. 94. Insigne R. 21. Liguori M. 2. Pagliai G. 5. Perrotta M. 1. Rinaldi F. (G) 28. Torrasi E.	6. Broh J. 19. Cimmaruta A. 99. Cuomo S. 15. D'Avino L. 21. Forciniti L. 31. Giordano L. 77. Greco S. (G) 9. Ibe C. 23. Laezza G. 33. La Vardera S. 28. Marchisano M. 26. Minelli A. 36. Rigo M. 12. Santarelli L. (G) 64. Varone I.
Coaches
Longo E.	Tulino L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Cavuoti N. ⚽, Lunetta G. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Coda M. ⚽, Cicerelli E. (A),
35', 3 - 0, Coda M. ⚽, Cavuoti N. (A),
45', Lunetta G. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Peluso L. ↓, Varone I. ↑,
46', Galletta U. ↓, Ibe C. ↑,
62', 4 - 0, Cicerelli E. ⚽, Coda M. (A),
64', Lunetta G. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
64', Coda M. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
66', Balde I. ↓, Forciniti L. ↑,
67', De Rosa R. ↓, Marchisano M. ↑,
71', 5 - 0, Caturano S. (Penalty Awarded),
75', 6 - 0, Liguori M. ⚽, Cicerelli E. (A),
76', Liguori M. 🟨,
80', Cicerelli E. ↓, Catania N. ↑,
80', Quaini A. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
80', Improta R. ↓, Rigo M. ↑,
83', Cabianca E. ↓, Pagliai G. ↑,

Preview

One of the top-ranked clubs faces a lower-table side fighting for vital survival points (ranked 7th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/32 - finals) and 18th in the Serie C - Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 4.

Catania has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Giugliano have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Giugliano may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The betting markets point to Catania as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Catania has recorded 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 15:9 (averaging 2.1:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Catania against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:6 goals (averaging 2.3:1.5 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Catania	11	6	1	4	24:12	12	19
18	Giugliano	11	3	1	7	15:29	-14	10

Last Results with these Odds

Catania - the odds 1.41 are the expected chance of winning is 65.2%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
17.10.26	Potenza - Catania	2:1 ✺
11.10.26	Altamura - Catania	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	Catania - Crotone	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Casertana - Catania	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Catania - Barletta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LWWWT
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
19.10.26	Giugliano - Foggia	3:1 ✺
13.10.26	Giugliano - Inter U23	0:4 ✺
10.10.26	Bari - Giugliano	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Giugliano - Barletta	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Salernitana - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.26	Catania - Giugliano	1:0
11.10.25	Giugliano - Catania	0:3
Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Catania - Giugliano	3:2
Italian Serie C Group C
26.01.25	Catania - Giugliano	3:1
22.09.24	Giugliano - Catania	3:2
28.03.24	Catania - Giugliano	2:3
26.11.23	Giugliano - Catania	0:1

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