Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 28

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
World	Onefootball


	Catania		Giugliano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.3	4.85	8.8	Watch
	1.26	4.45	7.6
	1.29	4.95	9.02	Watch
	1.3	4	9.5
	1.33	4.62	9.89	Watch
	1.35	4.5	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.3)	4.56 ↑ (4.53)	8.89 ↓ (9.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
69.8%

Draw
20%

Giugliano
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.2%

20.2%

9.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.3%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Giugliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catania than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catania, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giugliano than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Catania - Giugliano Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 73. Pieraccini S. 5. Miceli M. 3. Celli A. 24. Casasola T. 30. Corbari A. 16. Quaini A. (C) 20. Donnarumma D. 7. Jimenez K. 23. Lunetta G. 9. Rolfini A.	77. Greco S. (G) 15. D'Avino L. 23. Laezza G. 24. Caldore M. 2. Marchisano M. 44. Peluso L. 8. De Rosa R. (C) 4. Zammarini R. 70. D'Agostino G. 9. Isaac Prado 11. Volpe G.
Substitutes
6. Allegretto A. 1. Bethers K. (G) 17. Bruzzaniti G. 29. Cargnelutti R. 12. Coco L. (G) 99. D'Ausilio M. 47. Di Noia G. 28. Doni S. 32. Forte F. 68. Ierardi M. 13. Ponsi F. 19. Raimo A.	32. Balde I. 1. Bolletta L. (G) 43. Bozza M. 6. Broh J. 20. Cester S. 7. Egharevba D. 25. Minei A. 31. Murilo 5. Pedro Justiniano 12. Santarelli L. (G) 14. Vaglica G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Quaini A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Quaini A. ↓, D'Ausilio M. ↑,
60', Peluso L. ↓, Romano A. ↑,
60', Volpe G. ↓, Broh J. ↑,
61', Rolfini A. ↓, Forte F. ↑,
61', Lunetta G. ↓, Bruzzaniti G. ↑,
65', Donnarumma D. ↓, Ponsi F. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, D'Ausilio M. ⚽,
70', Laezza G. ↓, Vaglica G. ↑,
90', De Rosa R. ↓, Cester S. ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals) and 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catania won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Giugliano may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Catania is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Catania won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 2.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Catania won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Catania	8	4	1	3	14:10	4	13
18	Giugliano	8	2	1	5	12:18	-6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
18.02.26	Catania - Trapani	4:0 ✺
14.02.26	Siracusa - Catania	1:1 ✺
10.02.26	Catania - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
31.01.26	Sorrento - Catania	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Catania - Nuova Cosenza	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTTLW
- Giugliano Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.26	Giugliano - Trapani	3:1 ✺
10.02.26	Sorrento - Giugliano	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Giugliano - Nuova Cosenza	3:0 ✺
01.02.26	Salernitana - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
23.01.26	Giugliano - Cavese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.6 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.25	Giugliano - Catania	0:3
Italian Serie C Group A
04.05.25	Catania - Giugliano	3:2
Italian Serie C Group C
26.01.25	Catania - Giugliano	3:1
22.09.24	Giugliano - Catania	3:2
28.03.24	Catania - Giugliano	2:3
26.11.23	Giugliano - Catania	0:1

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