Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 35

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Angelo Massimino (Catania)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 258, Sky Sport Uno
World	FIFA+


	Catania		Avellino

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.87	3.05	2.57	Watch
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.76	2.95	2.45	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (3.12)	3.05 ↓ (3.32)	2.54 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catania
34%

Draw
30%

Avellino
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.6%

27.8%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

27.4%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

Avellino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Avellino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avellino than the current prediction. (+7.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Avellino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Catania - Avellino Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Avellino (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Catania (2.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 1 - 50%). Avellino (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dini A. (G) 68. Ierardi M. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Celli A. 19. Raimo A. 6. De Rose F. 7. Di Tacchio F. 33. Anastasio A. 10. Jimenez K. 23. Lunetta G. 11. De Paoli A.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 29. Cancellotti T. 5. Rigione M. 56. Enrici P. 23. Cagnano A. 24. Sounas D. 6. Palmiero L. 21. Armellino M. 7. D'Ausilio M. 32. Lescano F. 9. Patierno C.
Substitutes
63. Allegretto A. 12. Butano D. (G) 77. Dalmonte N. 5. Del Fabro D. 13. Farroni A. (G) 37. Forti C. 20. Frisenna G. 24. Gega E. 9. Inglese R. 32. Montalto A. 16. Quaini A. 51. Rizzotti A. 21. Stoppa M. 8. Sturaro S.	57. Campanile A. 26. Cionek T. 38. Frascatore P. 22. Guarnieri M. (G) 79. Manzi C. 77. Marson L. (G) 55. Mutanda N. 20. Palumbo M. 91. Panico G. 10. Russo R. 2. Todisco G. 19. Tribuzzi A. 35. Zuberek J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Lunetta G. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Patierno C. ⚽,
33', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Russo R. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 1 - 2, Patierno C. ⚽,
62', De Paoli A. ↓, Inglese R. ↑,
66', Palmiero L. 🟨,
70', Anastasio A. ↓, Stoppa M. ↑,
74', Lescano F. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
74', Armellino M. ↓, Palumbo M. ↑,
78', Russo R. 🟨,
79', De Rose F. ↓, Frisenna G. ↑,
79', Jimenez K. ↓, Dalmonte N. ↑,
79', Raimo A. ↓, Quaini A. ↑,
81', Quaini A. 🟨,
85', Ierardi M. 🟨,
85', Patierno C. 🟨,
88', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
90', Cagnano A. 🟨,
90+3', Palmiero L. ↓, Mutanda N. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Catania won 1.

Catania is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Avellino in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Avellino have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

There will not play in Catania: Bethers K. (Ankle Injury) Guglielmotti D. (Muscle Injury) Inglese R. (Muscle Injury) Luperini G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Avellino: De Cristofaro A. (Injury) Guarnieri M. (Injury) Rocca M. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Catania won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 24:20 (average 1.8:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Catania won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10:6 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
30.03.25	Trapani - Catania	0:3 ✺
23.03.25	Catania - Crotone	0:0 ✺
16.03.25	ACR Messina - Catania	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	Latina - Catania	1:4 ✺
02.03.25	Catania - Foggia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WTWWT
- US Avellino
Italian Serie C Group C
30.03.25	Avellino - Benevento	2:1 ✺
24.03.25	Avellino - Potenza	1:0 ✺
12.03.25	Avellino - Trapani	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	ACR Messina - Avellino	0:1 ✺
02.03.25	Avellino - Juventus U23	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
23.11.24	Avellino - Catania	2:2
Italian Serie C Group A
25.05.24	Avellino - Catania	2:1
21.05.24	Catania - Avellino	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
06.03.24	Avellino - Catania	5:2
29.10.23	Catania - Avellino	0:2
23.03.22	Avellino - Catania	0:1
20.10.21	Catania - Avellino	2:2

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