The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Potenza 19%
Draw 27.2%
Catania 53.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.4%
26.9%
44.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28%
26.5%
45.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Potenza's form might have worsened.
Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Catania's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Catania, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Potenza - Catania Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Catania (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 35. Novella M. 47. Bura R. 24. Bachini M. 98. Adjapong C. 31. Siatounis A. 5. Lucas Martello 28. Maisto F. 11. Mazzeo L. 92. Bruschi N. 77. Ghisolfi M.
57. Dini A. (G) 6. Allegretto A. 15. Di Gennaro M. 3. Celli A. 24. Casasola T. 14. Di Tacchio F. 16. Quaini A. 23. Lunetta G. 7. Jimenez K. 99. D'Ausilio M. 32. Forte F.
Substitutes
22. Alastra F. (G) 19. Balzano M. 23. De Marco A. 83. Gabriele G. 96. Guiotto G. (G) 30. Petrungaro L. 20. Ragone G. 14. Riggio C. 70. Selleri G.
1. Bethers K. (G) 18. Caturano S. 30. Corbari A. 28. Doni S. 20. Donnarumma D. 73. Pieraccini S. 19. Raimo A. 9. Rolfini A. 11. Stoppa M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Forte F. ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, Bruschi N. ⚽,
19', Bruschi N. 🟥,
25', Di Tacchio F. 🟨,
37', Celli A. 🟨,
43', Maisto F. ↓, De Marco A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', D'Ausilio M. ↓, Rolfini A. ↑,
46', Di Tacchio F. ↓, Corbari A. ↑,
46', Mazzeo L. ↓, Selleri G. ↑,
46', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
61', Allegretto A. ↓, Pieraccini S. ↑,
61', Jimenez K. ↓, Donnarumma D. ↑,
67', Forte F. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
75', Cucchietti T. 🟨,
81', Novella M. ↓, Balzano M. ↑,
90+1', Lucas Martello ↓, Petrungaro L. ↑,
90+6', Selleri G. 🟨,
90+10', De Marco A. 🟨,
90+15', Pieraccini S. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Catania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Catania is considered a favorite.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 1.2:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Potenza won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.4:1.1).
Last Results with these Odds
Catania - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 44.68%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Italy
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Cucchietti T. (G) 
Siatounis A. 
Lucas Martello 
Casasola T. 
Jimenez K. 
Bethers K. (G) 
