Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 10

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Comunale Alfredo Viviani (Potenza) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zago F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	17:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Potenza		Catania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.65	3.10	2.35
	2.72	3.05	2.45
	3.28	3.20	2.37
	2.94	3	2.42	Watch
	3.20	2.90	2.30
	3.09	3.29	2.26	Watch
	2.70	3.10	2.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.61)	3.09 ↑ (2.98)	2.37 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Potenza
31.3%

Draw
29.8%

Catania
38.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.8%

30.5%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.7%

29.7%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Catania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Potenza - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
17. Cucchietti T. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 6. Loiacono G. (C) 47. Bura R. 3. Russo L. 77. Ghisolfi M. 24. Bando A. 8. Castorani M. 30. Petrungaro L. 70. Selleri G. 10. D'Auria G.	57. Dini A. (G) 35. Cabianca E. 15. Di Gennaro M. 6. Allegretto A. 7. Bruzzaniti G. 16. Quaini A. 4. Vallocchia A. 32. Masciangelo E. 94. Insigne R. 10. Cicerelli E. (C) 9. Coda M.
Substitutes
98. Adjapong C. 7. Bruschi N. 1. Franchi D. (G) 14. Franzolini A. 35. Giannini D. 18. Gorga G. 21. Manfredonia M. 80. Matheu P. 11. Mazzeo L. 9. Murano J. 89. Paolino M. 50. Sicolo F. (G) 25. Staver C. 2. Verza N.	76. Cariello G. 70. Catania N. 11. Caturano S. 18. Cavuoti N. 20. Donnarumma D. 21. Liguori M. 23. Lunetta G. 5. Perrotta M. 1. Rinaldi F. (G) 28. Torrasi E. 25. Torre C.
Coaches
Tisci I.	Longo E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Ghisolfi M. ⚽, D'Auria G. (A),
26', Allegretto A. 🟨,
38', Longo E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', D'Auria G. 🟨,
57', Masciangelo E. ↓, Lunetta G. ↑,
57', Quaini A. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
66', 2 - 0, Castorani M. (Penalty Awarded),
67', Coda M. ↓, Caturano S. ↑,
68', Cicerelli E. ↓, Cavuoti N. ↑,
71', Bruzzaniti G. ↓, Liguori M. ↑,
77', Bando A. ↓, Manfredonia M. ↑,
77', Selleri G. ↓, Murano J. ↑,
86', D'Auria G. ↓, Mazzeo L. ↑,
86', Petrungaro L. ↓, Matheu P. ↑,
89', Caturano S. 🟨,
90+4', Castorani M. ↓, Franzolini A. ↑,
90+6', 2 - 1, Allegretto A. ⚽,
90+7', Manfredonia M. 🟨,
90+10', Torrasi E. 🟨,
90+15', Di Gennaro M. 🟨,
90+15', 🟨,
90+15', 🟨,

Preview

A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Serie B and 4th in the Promotion - Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs (1/16 - finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 1.

Each of the two teams has built an impressive run of consecutive wins.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Potenza has recorded 4 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 21:22 (averaging 1.2:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Potenza against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 12:10 goals (averaging 1.3:1.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Potenza	11	8	2	1	28:15	13	26
4	Catania	11	6	1	4	24:12	12	19

Last Results with these Odds

Catania - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.75%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.26	Foggia - Potenza	1:3 ✺
04.10.26	Potenza - Picerno	4:2 ✺
27.09.26	Barletta - Potenza	1:4 ✺
20.09.26	Potenza - Cavese	4:2 ✺
15.09.26	Bari - Potenza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWWT
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
11.10.26	Altamura - Catania	0:3 ✺
03.10.26	Catania - Crotone	2:1 ✺
27.09.26	Casertana - Catania	1:2 ✺
19.09.26	Catania - Barletta	0:0 ✺
15.09.26	Picerno - Catania	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
19.04.26	Catania - Potenza	1:1
14.12.25	Potenza - Catania	1:1
Italian Serie C Group A
07.05.25	Catania - Potenza	1:0
Italian Serie C Group C
27.04.25	Potenza - Catania	1:2
14.12.24	Catania - Potenza	0:2
10.03.24	Catania - Potenza	0:0
05.11.23	Potenza - Catania	1:0

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