Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	Catanzaro		Casertana

	1	X	2
	1.83	3	4.33
	1.8	3	4.5	Watch
	1.75	3.25	4.25
	1.84	2.95	4.3
	1.89	3.16	4.81
	1.91	3.3	4
	1.86	3.3	4.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↑ (1.73)	3.14 ↓ (3.33)	4.33 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
49.7%

Draw
29.2%

Casertana
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

18%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catanzaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Casertana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Catanzaro - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs and 10 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Catanzaro is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Casertana is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Casertana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Catanzaro is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 5 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 20-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 14-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
13.02.21	Foggia - Catanzaro	0:2 ✺
07.02.21	Catanzaro - Vibonese	1:0 ✺
03.02.21	Paganese - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
27.01.21	Catanzaro - Viterbese	0:0 ✺
23.01.21	Catanzaro - Potenza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWLTW
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
14.02.21	Casertana - Teramo	2:0 ✺
08.02.21	Ternana - Casertana	5:1 ✺
03.02.21	Casertana - Potenza	1:0 ✺
30.01.21	Foggia - Casertana	1:0 ✺
27.01.21	Juve Stabia - Casertana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.10.20	Casertana - Catanzaro	0:0
16.02.20	Catanzaro - Casertana	1:1
Coppa Italia Serie C
27.11.19	Catanzaro - Casertana	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
29.09.19	Casertana - Catanzaro	2:1
Coppa Italia
04.08.19	Catanzaro - Casertana	4:1 ET
Italian Serie C Group C
27.01.19	Catanzaro - Casertana	3:2
29.09.18	Casertana - Catanzaro	2:1

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