Match Info

ITALY: COPPA ITALIA SERIE C - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Pino Zaccheria (Foggia)


	Foggia		Catanzaro

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.85
	2.05	3.15	3.15
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.14	3.2	3.15
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.12	3.22	3.15	Watch
	2.25	3.2	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.98)	3.12 ↑ (2.79)	3.06 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Foggia
41.6%

Draw
28.9%

Catanzaro
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

31.9%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

32.2%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Foggia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Foggia's performance.

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Catanzaro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Foggia than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Foggia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Catanzaro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	16.7%	25%

Foggia - Catanzaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Foggia will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Catanzaro will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Foggia: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Foggia won 1.

Recent matches Foggia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Catanzaro in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recently Catanzaro have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Foggia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 11-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Foggia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Foggia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.22	Giugliano - Foggia	3:2 ✺
30.11.22	Foggia - ACR Messina	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Nuova Monterosi - Foggia	1:1 ✺
20.11.22	Foggia - Audace Cerignola	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Foggia - Crotone	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWTLW
- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.22	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	4:1 ✺
30.11.22	Catanzaro - Giugliano	3:0 ✺
27.11.22	Pescara - Catanzaro	0:3 ✺
20.11.22	Catanzaro - Gelbison Cilento	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.11.22	Catanzaro - Avellino	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
11.04.22	Foggia - Catanzaro	2:6
05.12.21	Catanzaro - Foggia	2:0
13.02.21	Foggia - Catanzaro	0:2
18.10.20	Catanzaro - Foggia	2:1
05.04.17	Catanzaro - Foggia	1:2
20.11.16	Foggia - Catanzaro	1:0
24.01.16	Catanzaro - Foggia	0:3

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