Match Info

ITALY: SERIE C - GROUP C - ROUND 19

Date: 18 December 2022, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro) 🌤️ ...


	Catanzaro		Potenza

	1	X	2
	1.3	4.8	7.5
	1.36	4.1	7
	1.31	4.4	7.8
	1.29	4.81	10.31
	1.3	4.4	9
	1.29	4.95	8.6	Watch
	1.31	4.8	7.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.5)	4.61 ↑ (3.72)	8.29 ↑ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
69.4%

Draw
19.7%

Potenza
11%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.7%

24.1%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.5%

23%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Catanzaro's performance.

Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Catanzaro that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Potenza than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.4%	5.9%	11.8%

Catanzaro - Potenza Predictions

Users Predictions: Catanzaro will win (14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 2.

Catanzaro is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Potenza is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Catanzaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Catanzaro is certain favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Catanzaro won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie C Group C
12.12.22	Foggia - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
07.12.22	Foggia - Catanzaro	2:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group C
04.12.22	Catanzaro - Virtus Francavilla	4:1 ✺
30.11.22	Catanzaro - Giugliano	3:0 ✺
27.11.22	Pescara - Catanzaro	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWW
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
11.12.22	Potenza - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
04.12.22	Monopoli - Potenza	1:2 ✺
30.11.22	Potenza - Audace Cerignola	0:0 ✺
27.11.22	Juve Stabia - Potenza	0:0 ✺
20.11.22	ACR Messina - Potenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie C
02.11.22	Catanzaro - Potenza	3:1
Italian Serie C Group C
22.02.22	Potenza - Catanzaro	0:0
12.09.21	Catanzaro - Potenza	1:1
23.01.21	Catanzaro - Potenza	1:0
27.09.20	Potenza - Catanzaro	2:1
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
05.07.20	Potenza - Catanzaro	1:1
Italian Serie C Group C
01.03.20	Potenza - Catanzaro	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
31.10.26	Catanzaro - Padova	✺
- Potenza FC
Italian Serie C Group C
01.11.26	Potenza - Crotone	✺

Catanzaro - Potenza