Match Info

Serie B - Round 5

Date: 26 September 2025, Friday

Location: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)

Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball


	Catanzaro		Juve Stabia

	1	X	2
	3	2.85	2.57	Watch
	2.82	2.98	2.58
	3.05	3.05	2.7
	7.35	3.88	1.48	Watch
	2.92	3.02	2.62	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (2.7)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	2.39 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Catanzaro
26.2%

Draw
31.8%

Juve Stabia
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29.7%

36.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.9%

29.5%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanzaro's form might have worsened.

Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juve Stabia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juve Stabia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	36.7%	43.3%

Catanzaro - Juve Stabia Predictions

Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 25.6% – 61%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Catanzaro (1.98) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Catanzaro (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 3 - 30%). Juve Stabia (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Pigliacelli M. (G) 18. Bettella D. 4. Matias Antonini 23. Brighenti N. 27. Favasuli C. 20. Pontisso S. 32. Rispoli F. 84. Cassandro T. 7. Pandolfi L. 80. Cisse A. 9. Iemmello P. (C)	1. Confente A. (G) 4. Ruggero M. 33. Giorgini A. 19. Stabile G. 24. Carissoni L. 29. Correia O. 55. Leone G. (C) 10. Pierobon C. 77. Cacciamani A. 37. Maistro F. 9. Gabrielloni A.
Substitutes
5. Bashi E. 98. Buglio D. 45. Buso N. 77. D'Alessandro M. 17. Di Chiara G. 94. Di Francesco F. 1. Marietta C. (G) 19. Nuamah P. 28. Oudin R. 10. Petriccione J. 8. Pittarello F. 26. Verrengia B.	15. Baldi M. 6. Bellich M. 23. Boer P. (G) 7. Burnete R. 27. Candellone L. 21. De Pieri G. 20. Duca E. 98. Mosti N. 11. Piscopo K. 3. Reale F. 13. Varnier M. 45. Zuccon F.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Abate I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', Bettella D. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Gabrielloni A. (Pen),
25', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
30', Matias Antonini 🟨,
36', Pierobon C. 🟨,
44', 0 - 2, Carissoni L. ⚽, Gabrielloni A. (A),
45+1', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bettella D. ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
46', Matias Antonini ↓, Petriccione J. ↑,
46', Rispoli F. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
46', Pierobon C. ↓, Reale F. ↑,
46', Maistro F. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
53', 1 - 2, Verrengia B. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
63', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
64', Burnete R. 🟨,
68', Pandolfi L. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
71', 2 - 2, Iemmello P. ⚽, Pittarello F. (A),
72', Carissoni L. 🟨,
73', Maistro F. 🟥,
76', Stabile G. ↓, Bellich M. ↑,
76', Carissoni L. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
84', Pontisso S. ↓, Oudin R. ↑,
90+4', Piscopo K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

There will not play in Catanzaro: Di Francesco F. (Inactive) Pompetti M. (Shin Injury)

There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T. (Knee Injury) Bellich M. (Overload) Ciammaglichella A. (Overload) Morachioli G. (Lacking Match Fitness)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Last Results with these Odds

Catanzaro - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Catanzaro
Italian Serie B
20.09.25	Reggiana - Catanzaro	2:2 ✺
13.09.25	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Spezia - Catanzaro	0:0 ✺
24.08.25	Catanzaro - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.25	Sassuolo - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTTTL
- Juve Stabia
Italian Serie B
20.09.25	Spezia - Juve Stabia	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Juve Stabia - Reggiana	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Juve Stabia - Venezia	0:0 ✺
23.08.25	Virtus Entella - Juve Stabia	1:1 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.08.25	Lecce - Juve Stabia	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
01.05.25	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	2:0
25.08.24	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
25.02.23	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	1:4
22.10.22	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	2:0
27.03.22	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	1:1
21.11.21	Catanzaro - Juve Stabia	1:1
21.04.21	Juve Stabia - Catanzaro	0:1

Upcoming Matches