Match Info
Serie B - Round 5Date: 26 September 2025, FridayLocation: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo (Catanzaro)Referee: Sacchi J. L. (Ita)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
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Catanzaro |
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Juve Stabia |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Catanzaro
26.2% | Draw
31.8% | Juve Stabia
42% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Catanzaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Catanzaro's form might have worsened.Juve Stabia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juve Stabia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Catanzaro than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Catanzaro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juve Stabia than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juve Stabia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Predictions
Users Predictions:
30 users predict this event. Catanzaro will win (votes: 6 - 20%). Juve Stabia will win (votes: 13 - 43.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 36.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juve Stabia: 25.6% – 61%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Juve Stabia (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Catanzaro (1.98) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- DC - Catanzaro (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Catanzaro (votes: 3 - 30%). Juve Stabia (votes: 2 - 20%). Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
22.  Pigliacelli M. (G)
18. Bettella D.
4.  Matias Antonini
23. Brighenti N.
27. Favasuli C.
20. Pontisso S.
32. Rispoli F.
84. Cassandro T.
7. Pandolfi L.
80. Cisse A.
9. Iemmello P. (C)
| 1. Confente A. (G)
4. Ruggero M.
33. Giorgini A.
19. Stabile G.
24. Carissoni L.
29.  Correia O.
55. Leone G. (C)
10. Pierobon C.
77. Cacciamani A.
37. Maistro F.
9. Gabrielloni A.
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| Substitutes |
5.  Bashi E.
98. Buglio D.
45. Buso N.
77. D'Alessandro M.
17. Di Chiara G.
94. Di Francesco F.
1. Marietta C. (G)
19. Nuamah P.
28. Oudin R.
10. Petriccione J.
8. Pittarello F.
26. Verrengia B.
| 15. Baldi M.
6. Bellich M.
23. Boer P. (G)
7.  Burnete R.
27. Candellone L.
21. De Pieri G.
20. Duca E.
98. Mosti N.
11. Piscopo K.
3. Reale F.
13. Varnier M.
45. Zuccon F.
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| Coaches |
Aquilani A.
| Abate I.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 19', Bettella D. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Gabrielloni A. (Pen),
- 25', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
- 30', Matias Antonini 🟨,
- 36', Pierobon C. 🟨,
- 44', 0 - 2, Carissoni L. ⚽, Gabrielloni A. (A),
- 45+1', Cacciamani A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Bettella D. ↓, Verrengia B. ↑,
- 46', Matias Antonini ↓, Petriccione J. ↑,
- 46', Rispoli F. ↓, Di Francesco F. ↑,
- 46', Pierobon C. ↓, Reale F. ↑,
- 46', Maistro F. ↓, Mosti N. ↑,
- 53', 1 - 2, Verrengia B. ⚽, Pontisso S. (A),
- 63', Gabrielloni A. ↓, Burnete R. ↑,
- 64', Burnete R. 🟨,
- 68', Pandolfi L. ↓, Pittarello F. ↑,
- 71', 2 - 2, Iemmello P. ⚽, Pittarello F. (A),
- 72', Carissoni L. 🟨,
- 73', Maistro F. 🟥,
- 76', Stabile G. ↓, Bellich M. ↑,
- 76', Carissoni L. ↓, Piscopo K. ↑,
- 84', Pontisso S. ↓, Oudin R. ↑,
- 90+4', Piscopo K. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 2.Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.There will not play in Catanzaro: Di Francesco F.
(Inactive)
Pompetti M.
(Shin Injury)There will not play in Juve Stabia: Battistella T.
(Knee Injury)
Bellich M.
(Overload)
Ciammaglichella A.
(Overload)
Morachioli G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Catanzaro won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Catanzaro won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).
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Last Results with these Odds
Catanzaro - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.13%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie B | | | 01.05.25 | Juve Stabia - Catanzaro | 2:0 | | 25.08.24 | Catanzaro - Juve Stabia | 0:0 | | Italian Serie C Group C | | | 25.02.23 | Juve Stabia - Catanzaro | 1:4 | | 22.10.22 | Catanzaro - Juve Stabia | 2:0 | | 27.03.22 | Juve Stabia - Catanzaro | 1:1 | | 21.11.21 | Catanzaro - Juve Stabia | 1:1 | | 21.04.21 | Juve Stabia - Catanzaro | 0:1 |
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