Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 17

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	Mosconia		Navarro

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.55	9
	1.26	4.97	11.17	Watch
	1.25	4.5	12
	1.23	4.75	12.7
	1.26	4.75	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.31)	4.7 ↑ (4.6)	10.97 ↑ (8.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mosconia
72.4%

Draw
19.3%

Navarro
8.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.6%

19.8%

10.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

18.8%

10.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mosconia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Navarro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosconia than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Navarro than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Mosconia - Navarro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
87', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 2 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Mosconia is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Navarro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Mosconia is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mosconia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Mosconia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mosconia	5	3	2	0	8:1	7	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Mosconia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Gijón Industrial - Mosconia	0:2 ✺
21.12.25	Mosconia - Praviano	2:0 ✺
14.12.25	Lenense - Mosconia	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Mosconia - San Martín	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Covadonga - Mosconia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWTL
- SD Navarro CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
04.01.26	Navarro - Ceares	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Caudal Deportivo - Navarro	2:1 ✺
14.12.25	Navarro - Club Siero	0:3 ✺
07.12.25	Tuilla - Navarro	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Gijón Industrial - Navarro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 2
13.03.22	Navarro - Mosconia	0:0
24.10.21	Mosconia - Navarro	1:0
14.02.21	Mosconia - Navarro	0:0
08.09.19	Mosconia - Navarro	3:2

Mosconia - Navarro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide